- Seq data up to Feb 26. >15,000 sequences since Jan 1.
- Check dashboard for stats on tests & variants of concerns in your state. public.tableau.com/profile/helix6…
Re B.1.1.7, Michigan 📈 fast. MN too but we have less data.
More in🧵
2/
On Method:
- Numbers of positives, SGTF etc. are only reporting those with N gene Ct <27 (we use this threshold to select samples for sequencing).
- In Jan, we enriched sequences for SGTF to get grasp of % of SGTF that are B117. Now we don't enrich for SGTF anymore.
3/
Michigan.
SGTF (pretty much all of the ones we sequenced in MI were B117) represent now more than 60% of positives in MI.
And total cases in MI also on rise based on CDC tracker. 👇
4/
Florida.
SGTF (~B117) represent a little over 50% of positives. Increase is slower. And number of cases is stable. That is good news. Vaccines and other efforts are working.
5/
California.
Current proportion of SARS-CoV-2 seems to be:
- 45% B.1.427 / B.1.429 (fairly stable in last month)
- 30% B.1.1.7 (increasing slowly in last month)
- 25% other
note: Our numbers are enriched for San Diego County in CA.
6/ The 2 other variants of concern:
- 24 B.1.351 in CT, FL, GA, MA, NC, TX
- 11 P.1 in FL & MA
btw, we optimized the seq file on Github so that it matches the virus name on GISAID
~50% of cases in Florida, Georgia & Texas are B.1.1.7.
in FL: Overall cases continue to 📉 but 52.8% of pos were SGTF (S-gene target failure) on March 7.
=> We will track closely evolution
2/ In Georgia
54% of positives were SGTF on March 7.
While still ~90% of these are likely B.1.1.7, interesting to note that B.1.525 also sequenced several times in GA and also leads to SGTF
(note: B.1.525 is not a variant of concern)
3/ Texas
53% of positives were SGTF on March 7. Overall cases still going down. Again, we will keep testing, sequencing and tracking to see what happens as things reopen, and vaccinated population increases.
2/
With overall number of cases 📉 quickly => important to look at % of positives that are B1.1.7
AND also the evolution of the absolute number of B1.1.7
Can do this based on Helix numbers,
or by multiplying % from Helix by overall number of cases reported by states and CDC
3/ CA: % of positives that are B117 now ~15-17%
Increase in absolute numbers of B117 is slower (compared to FL).
Still N of B117 is not decreasing, unlike the non-SGTF SARS-CoV-2 variants including B.1.429 & B.1.427 who are decreasing fast.