Thread by @LabeebGulzar

🔴Severe Weather(21 - 24 March)

🔴Strong Western Disturbance will effect Western Himalayan region from tomorrow morning.

➡️(Peak/Main) intensity will be on:- (21 morning/afternoon - night)

& ⚠️(from 22 March afternoon - 23 March late Night)⚠️.

⬇️Read more THREAD⬇️

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➡️Under the influence of this weather system,most parts of J&K will receive
⚠️ moderate - heavy(rain/snow)thundershowers,lightnings, gusty wind, hailstorm.⚠️

➡️Heavy snowfall is also expected over Pir Panjal, Zanskar range.

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➡️Northern parts of #Pakistan(KPK,#Mardan, #Islamabad #Peshawar,#Lahore,#Chitral etc), North western #India(#Gurdaspur, #Amritsar,#Jalandharetc) will receive heavy thundershowers,hailstorm, Gusty wind,Lightnings.

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🔴Probable effects of WD:-

1️⃣⚠️There are chances of Landslides,shooting stones(Sgr- Jmu NH),Mudslides & Avalanches in vulnerable areas of J&K and North Pakistan.⚠️

2️⃣⚠️There will be rise in the water level of Tributaries, Nallah's, Streams & in Jehlum river.⚠️

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3️⃣⚠️There are chances of waterlogging in low lying areas.⚠️

4️⃣⚠️There are chances of flash flooding in one or two places of J&K⚠️

5️⃣It may caus Disruption of surface transportation over higher reaches.

6️⃣There will be temperature drop of 8 - 16°C.

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7️⃣To avoid loss farmers are advised to avoid spraying orchards during the mentioned period.

🔴I will give updates of weather systems(spells) by radar nowcasting using IMD Doppler radar Srinagar & PMD radar Islamabad. I will also use satellite data etc.

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🔴Weather Models used for forecasting :- ECMWF, NOAA GFS, NEM, CMC GDPS, UKMO, ICON, IMD (IITM/NCMRWF)etc.

➡️Thanks for reading.
Stay safe.👍🏻

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