Voting turnout in the UK has declined from the 80% numbers of early 1950s, but still exceeds US levels: 67% of those eligible in 2019.
Of the 22 elections from 1945, the Conservatives won the most votes in 13.
Why do Republicans assume they'll be uncompetitive if more vote here?
Voting turnout is even higher in Germany than UK, mid 70%s of those eligible. Of the 19 elections beginning 1949, the conservative coalition won the most votes in 16.
So why do Republicans assume they'll be uncompetitive if more vote here?
Right-of-center parties have dominated since 1945 in other peer democracies with high voting turnout: Japan, Italy, France, and Australia - the last with compulsory voting.
Canada offers something of an exception, in great part because of linguistic/regional politics. But in the province of Ontario, the biggest & richest in Canada, Conservatives have held power for 2/3 of the time since WW2.
Which is not to say that Mitch McConnell is wrong about the threat to present-day GOP from voting reform. The present day GOP's combination of plutocratic economics + extreme cultural reaction + environmental disregard probably *is* unsustainable under full democracy.
But it's not the Republican party as an institution that would be doomed by full democracy, only the careers of certain kinds of Republicans. That's a very different matter that is being misrepresented by present GOP leadership. END
Put this another way:
The operating assumption of the post-2010 GOP it can afford to alienate middle-class conservative-leaning homeowners in states like California, New Jersey ...
because it can use voter suppression to monopolize power in states like Georgia & S Carolina
If full democracy makes Georgia and South Carolina competitive ... then the GOP has to resume competing in California and New Jersey.
And the effort do that latter thing would force uncomfortable hard work upon a party that no longer feels at home in the 21st c USA.
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This below point is being repeated a lot, but I think some who repeat it are in danger of misunderstanding its significance. A short historical thread ...
The Democratic party of the 1880s offered a haven to unreconstructed neo-Confederates, in alliance with corrupt urban machines. Although it took care to nominate untainted men like Grover Cleveland at the top of the ticket, down below - very different story. 1/x
The electoral power of the 1880s Democratic party depended on violent voter suppression in the South - and flagrant voter manipulation in the cities of the North. There's also reason to believe that Democrats benefited more from female disenfranchisement ... 2/x
@jonathanchait@AJentleson A tip-off that the story is bogus: in all the hundreds of paintings of genteel Anglo-American tea-drinking in the 18th century, I'cw never seen one in which the tea is drunk from a saucer rather than a cup
Assertive presidential leadership can polarize something that otherwise would be broadly unifying. IE the reason we had a "Marshall Plan" (named after then SecState) rather than a "Truman Plan" was that President Truman's name excited strong partisan feelings 2/x
We saw this in the Obama and Trump years over and over again. People might not have an opinion over this program or that issue. They had STRONG feelings about Obama/Trump. Attach the high-intensity name, and the merits of the program/issue got lost. 3/x
If your theory of the case is that we are headed for hyper-inflation, the collapse of political authority, etc. ... it's bizarre to imagine that there's an INVESTMENT STRATEGY that will protect you. Investment strategies presuppose civil authority able to uphold property rights.
A little while ago, I moderated a panel of money managers. I asked the most pessimistic, "Are you one of those gold, guns, and canned goods guys?"
He answered, "In a real collapse, the only assets that matter are the guns. They'll take the gold and canned goods."
Woodrow Wilson used the phrase "America First" as an isolationist slogan in the election of 1916 to imply that his Republican opponent Charles Evans Hughes sympathy for Britain in the First World War was influenced by Hughes' father's English birth.
A pro-Wilson writer, Breckenridge Long, argued that Hughes was ineligible for the presidency - not a "natural born citizen" - because of Hughes' father's British birth. Long's arguments against the Republican Hughes were rediscovered a century later by anti-Obama birthers.