David Frum Profile picture
23 Mar, 18 tweets, 4 min read
This below point is being repeated a lot, but I think some who repeat it are in danger of misunderstanding its significance. A short historical thread ...
The Democratic party of the 1880s offered a haven to unreconstructed neo-Confederates, in alliance with corrupt urban machines. Although it took care to nominate untainted men like Grover Cleveland at the top of the ticket, down below - very different story. 1/x
The electoral power of the 1880s Democratic party depended on violent voter suppression in the South - and flagrant voter manipulation in the cities of the North. There's also reason to believe that Democrats benefited more from female disenfranchisement ... 2/x
... because Democrats were perceived as the party more supportive of the liquor traffic. We can see for certain that as soon as women got the vote in federal elections, Republicans won a sequence of huge victories (1920, 1924, 1928) - and Prohibition became law. 3/x
Anyway, back to the 1880s. The Democratic party of those days played a crooked electoral game. Anti-black voter suppression in the South brutally depressed Republican votes in that region. Urban machines stealthily inflated Democratic votes in the North. Atop all that ... 4/x
... the then-dominant Republicans had committed to a super-deflationary monetary policy in 1873.

I'll skip the technicalities, but the plan implied cutting wages in half and doubling the burden of farm debt.

That decision devastated down-ballot GOP in elections of 1874. 5/x
The monetary policy of 1873 doomed Southern Reconstruction after 1874. Result: By the 1880s, Democrats could imagine winning unified control of the federal government for the first time since the 1850s. But that win, if won, would rest heavily on force and fraud. 6/x
So there was the context for Republicans seizing a rare opportunity in later 1880s to rig the US Senate as a redoubt against neo-Confederacy. Not exactly fair, no - but neither was it fair when GOP lost Southern House seats and Electoral Votes to intimidation of black voters 7/x
Why repeat all this dusty history?

If you read the short Twitter version of what happened in 1889, you're in danger of absorbing too-simple a moral lesson.

The GOP Senate plan of the late 1880s was restorative political justice, compensating for abuses by the other party. 8/x
Americans face an analogous problem in the 2020s. Since 2010, Republicans have waged a highly successful rollback of the voting rights revolution of the 1960s. And it's worked for them, as the attack on voting rights worked for Democrats in the 1880s. 9/x
It's probably not feasible to rewrite the whole US electoral system to make it as representative as electoral systems in other peer democracies.

Germany, France, etc. adopted their present constitutions AFTER they committed to democracy; the US, BEFORE. 10/x
But Americans in the 2020s can feasibly revise *some* elements of their voting system to compensate for defects *elsewhere.* It's not a perfect solution. Like the Senate-rigging of the 1880s, it may have unintended/undesired consequences down the road. Who can foresee? 11/x
But within the context of a voting system as radically unrepresentative as the American voting system has become - something must be done. If the ideal is unfeasible, then settle for the feasible. 12/x
The lesson of the Senate carve-up of 1889 is not "Republicans are cheaters." Despite my jokes about merging states into South Saskatchewan, the lesson isn't even really that we have too many Dakotas. The lesson is ... 13/x
... that the democratic idea always faces powerful resistance, that periodic reform is necessary to defend democracy against those who dislike it, and that sometimes the only available defenses are very, very imperfect - like the carve-up of 1889. 14/x
That was them and then. This is us and now. They made mistakes. So will we. The key thing is to keep moving toward the democratic idea, against the always so powerful currents that push societies away. 15/x
The US would have been better off if it could have avoided *both* the deflation after 1873 *and* the ensuing Senate-rigging of 1889. But that outcome surely lay beyond the possibilities of their time. Let's focus on the possibilities of ours.

END
Footnote to those with access to JStor: Milton Friedman agreed that return to gold in 1873 was a mistake. jstor.org/stable/2937754… (Corrected link)

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with David Frum

David Frum Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @davidfrum

21 Mar
Voting turnout in the UK has declined from the 80% numbers of early 1950s, but still exceeds US levels: 67% of those eligible in 2019.
Of the 22 elections from 1945, the Conservatives won the most votes in 13.
Why do Republicans assume they'll be uncompetitive if more vote here?
Voting turnout is even higher in Germany than UK, mid 70%s of those eligible. Of the 19 elections beginning 1949, the conservative coalition won the most votes in 16.

So why do Republicans assume they'll be uncompetitive if more vote here?
Right-of-center parties have dominated since 1945 in other peer democracies with high voting turnout: Japan, Italy, France, and Australia - the last with compulsory voting.
Read 8 tweets
17 Mar
Act One (yesterday morning)

To end the border surge, Biden must clearly communicate: don't come.
theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Act Two (yesterday afternoon)

Twitter reverberates: it's racist to press the president to enforce the border and communicate: don't come
Act Three (yesterday evening)

Biden appears on ABC to clearly communicate: don't come
Read 5 tweets
17 Mar
@jonathanchait @AJentleson A tip-off that the story is bogus: in all the hundreds of paintings of genteel Anglo-American tea-drinking in the 18th century, I'cw never seen one in which the tea is drunk from a saucer rather than a cup
Read 5 tweets
14 Mar
I strongly approve of this Biden press conference reticence, and for 4 reasons, thread if you're interested ...
Reason 1)

Assertive presidential leadership can polarize something that otherwise would be broadly unifying. IE the reason we had a "Marshall Plan" (named after then SecState) rather than a "Truman Plan" was that President Truman's name excited strong partisan feelings 2/x
We saw this in the Obama and Trump years over and over again. People might not have an opinion over this program or that issue. They had STRONG feelings about Obama/Trump. Attach the high-intensity name, and the merits of the program/issue got lost. 3/x
Read 9 tweets
13 Mar
If you'd invested $100 in gold in 1960, buying 2.85 ounces, you'd have $4900 today

If you'd invested $100 in the S&P in 1960, reinvesting all dividends, you'd have more than $38,000 today.

They give this information away for free on Google, it's amazing.
If your theory of the case is that we are headed for hyper-inflation, the collapse of political authority, etc. ... it's bizarre to imagine that there's an INVESTMENT STRATEGY that will protect you. Investment strategies presuppose civil authority able to uphold property rights.
A little while ago, I moderated a panel of money managers. I asked the most pessimistic, "Are you one of those gold, guns, and canned goods guys?"

He answered, "In a real collapse, the only assets that matter are the guns. They'll take the gold and canned goods."
Read 4 tweets
11 Mar
Woodrow Wilson used the phrase "America First" as an isolationist slogan in the election of 1916 to imply that his Republican opponent Charles Evans Hughes sympathy for Britain in the First World War was influenced by Hughes' father's English birth.
A pro-Wilson writer, Breckenridge Long, argued that Hughes was ineligible for the presidency - not a "natural born citizen" - because of Hughes' father's British birth. Long's arguments against the Republican Hughes were rediscovered a century later by anti-Obama birthers.
Here's the Long essay on "natural born" citizenship scribd.com/doc/68922032/N…
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!