A few observations on #IsraelElex4:
1) Israeli politics remains divided and dead locked. 2)Netanyahu's situation has not changed significantly. His next coalition will be as fragile and unstable as the previous one. 3) No credible challenger to Bibi has emerged 4) The Center >
1) Israeli politics remains divided and dead locked. 2)Netanyahu's situation has not changed significantly. His next coalition will be as fragile and unstable as the previous one. 3) No credible challenger to Bibi has emerged 4) The Center >
4) The mostly secular Center (Lapid+ Gantz) remains a viable force. This bloc is the main opposition to the Right. 5) Merav Michaeli brought Labor back from the dead. But even with Meretz, they remain marginal
6) Likud post-Netanyahu is on track to follow Labor's gradual disintegration. There's not much there other than loyalty to King-Bibi. 7) Saar's alternative to Bibi and Likud failed. Someone else (Bennett? Shaked?) will lead this effort in #IsraelElex5. ...TBC
8) Ramifications of the split in the (no longer) United Arab List remain unclear. If splinter Ra'am gets in (4 or even 5 seats), they can determine everything. Abbas (head of Islamist-leaning Ra'am) stresses need for improving lives of Arab citizens, and flirted with Netanyahu ..
9) Does @gantzbe emerge as most likely PM after Bibi, as of November?Gantz and his party were written-off by polls, analysts. Wrong. He's the Big Surprise of #IsraelElex4.
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