Thread by @jonworth

All right then

Where we are *now* with the AZ 💉 supply saga

Thanks to good work by @jamescrisp6 and an initial discussion about "Europe" as opposed to "EU" in a statement, now clarified, this is what I *think* the situation is

There are 29 million AZ 💉 doses at Anagni 🇮🇹

AZ states 13 million of these are destined for COVAX countries, and 16 million for the EU (10 million this month and 6 million next month)

We don't know what % of the doses contain vaccine from Halix 🇳🇱 and Seneffe 🇧🇪

Perhaps importantly, given all the controversy about export bans, NONE of the doses at Anagni are destined for countries that have been talked about as countries to which the EU would consider banning exports

So, weirdly, we are back to where we were - *if* AZ's statement about Anagni is correct...

... because we still do not know where any doses due for 🇬🇧 even are!

"Britain ready to share Dutch-made vaccine with EU" @brunobrussels reported for The Times on Monday

thetimes.co.uk/article/ben-wa…

But *where* is it?

AZ is stating nothing at Anagni is destined for the UK

Another option - floated by @DaveClark_AFP - is that the bottling of Halix production might actually happen in 🇬🇧 (this could theoretically happen in Wrexham)

Were this so, exports would have to be registered with the Commission by AZ

A further possibility is the bottling is done somewhere else - according to the Irish Times early AZ imports into the UK were made in Netherlands and bottled in Germany irishtimes.com/business/healt…

That *could* be at the IDT Biologika plant in Dessau
reuters.com/article/us-hea…

So where are the Halix doses the UK says it might be willing to split with the EU? And how many of them are there?

That was the question 48 hours ago and, weirdly, still seems to be the question - after the Anagni diversion

Thanks
@Sime0nStylites
@APHClarkson
@DaveClark_AFP
@JamesCrisp6
@grimmse
@vramosbis
@BrunoBrussels
for help piecing all this together!

/ends

P.S. Following the thread here

https://twitter.com/DaveSmithSkvn/status/1374734522739261443

it's *possible* that the vaccine for the 13 million COVAX doses at Anagni was actually produced... in Argentina

But that leaves the key question still: where are the Halix doses?