WHAT COULD TESLA BE WORTH IN 2036 ?
We have already provided a view on Tesla's Market Capitalization in 2031, which is 10 years from now
- it basically rounds off to about $6,000 billion
- before counting anything for Third-Party Battery Sales
We have already provided a view on Tesla's Market Capitalization in 2031, which is 10 years from now
- it basically rounds off to about $6,000 billion
- before counting anything for Third-Party Battery Sales
If we extend the two main analyses up to 2036 we can expect to get these kinds of values :
1. Making Automobiles
= $5,600 billion of Market Cap at a 20x P/E Multiple
1. Making Automobiles
= $5,600 billion of Market Cap at a 20x P/E Multiple
2. Selling FDAS
= $4,000 billion of Market Cap at a 20x P/E Multiple
= $4,000 billion of Market Cap at a 20x P/E Multiple
3. Autonomous Taxis Network
Assume 1,000,000 vehicles ~= Uber + Lyft in 2021
Profit = $0.50 x 45,000 Revenue Miles per year
= $22,500 per vehicle per year
= $22.5 billion pre-tax profit per year
= $18 billion Net Income
= $360 billion Valuation at 20x P/E Multiple of 20x
Assume 1,000,000 vehicles ~= Uber + Lyft in 2021
Profit = $0.50 x 45,000 Revenue Miles per year
= $22,500 per vehicle per year
= $22.5 billion pre-tax profit per year
= $18 billion Net Income
= $360 billion Valuation at 20x P/E Multiple of 20x
In round numbers $5,600 + $4,000 + $360 = $10,000 billion per year
- ignoring any value for FDAS Operation
- which is about +67% higher than 2031
- assuming no further dilution or share buybacks after 2031 this would translate into a 2036 stock price of about $9,000 per share
- ignoring any value for FDAS Operation
- which is about +67% higher than 2031
- assuming no further dilution or share buybacks after 2031 this would translate into a 2036 stock price of about $9,000 per share
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