Mina Al-Lami Profile picture
Mar 27, 2021 14 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Thread on #Mozambique: 1) Since 24 Mar news of a multi-pronged militant attack on the town of #Palma in northern Mozambique have made international headlines, with reports of ongoing clashes, fatalities, displacement & militants capturing, at least temporarily, parts of Palma
2) But #ISIS, which has affiliated fighters in the region and operates through its so-called Central Africa Province branch, has yet to make any comment on the events. In fact, ISIS hasn't claimed any activity in Mozambique in nearly 5 months, since 1 Nov.
3) After a series of deadly raids on and a brief capture of villages and towns in Cabo Delgado (where Palma is also based) in 2020 - namely in March, April, May, June, August and late October - IS went quiet about its operations in the province
4) It's unclear if IS has continued its activity in Mozambique without publicly parading it, for reasons unknown to us. Last year it was similarly late in claiming big attacks in Cabo Delgado that made int. headlines, or it downplayed the nature of the attack when reporting it
5) Such delays could be down to communication difficulties between militants in Mozambique and IS's central media apparatus, or they could be linked to operational considerations
6) IS commonly relegates delayed claims to the pages of its weekly paper al-Naba, including previous late claims on Mozambique. However, the latest issue of al-Naba, which was released late on 25 March, carried no news on Mozambique
Our @BBCMonitoring report offers insight and context on IS activities in Mozambique and instances of delayed claims for attacks in the country: monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product/c202gm…
7) Militant violence in Cabo Delgado predates IS’ emergence in Jun 2019 when IS appeared to have co-opted local Islamist militants. They were known as Ansar al-Sunna (aka Ahlu al-Sunna Wa-Hamo), & locally called “al-Shabab" (not linked to Somali-based al-Shabab).
#ISIS has finally claimed responsibility for capturing the town of Palma in #Mozambique. Says it killed 55 ppl including soldiers, Christians and “foreign contractors”. Claims it seized gov buildings, factories & banks. Claim made five after days after militant attack started
9) ISIS has released a brief video claiming to show a large gathering of its militants after capturing the town of Palma in northern Mozambique. The militants are not in any uniform but many wear red head bands - a battlefield headdress that signifies important raids.
In the latest issue of its weekly paper al-Naba, IS said the Mozambican military had completely cut off all communications between Palma and the outside world from the start of the attack. IS may have deliberately added this info to explain why it was late in claiming the raid.
10) In the latest issue of its weekly paper al-Naba, IS led coverage with the Palma raid but failed to offer significant additional original info about the op. Instead, it gleefully highlighted the international media attention given to the offensive: monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product/c202h4…
11) Via al-Naba, IS said the attack was launched from Mocimboa da Praia - possibly in response to doubts cast about image IS shared on 29 Mar claiming to be from inside Palma but had sign 'Mocimboa da Praia'. Claimed army imposed comms siege, possibly to justify delay in claim

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Mina Al-Lami

Mina Al-Lami Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Minalami

Jul 12
1/ Interesting editorial in IS’s weekly paper al-Naba. To mark the start of new Hijri/Islamic year 1446 (started on 7 Jul), IS focuses on the importance of the purity of “intentions” and “sincerity” in actions, away from vanity and efforts to gain recognition and publicity. The group uses this segue into two key messages:
2/ The first says that although it’s important to avoid vanity in jihadist action (i.e. done for credit or fame), it is nevertheless important to document actions through wills and messages (e.g. pledge to IS or a message or SM post about motive) in certain circumstances so the purpose of the action is clear and it can inspire others. Last week the editorial praised lone actors inspired by IS who had left behind pledges to the group
3/ The second message appeared to be a dig at/warning to IS supporters, who in recent months have been at each other’s throats over a number of issues. The new editorial urges them to be sincere in their efforts, avoid arrogance and criticises actions (online support, productions, campaigns) done mainly for the sake of gaining “likes and viewings”
Read 4 tweets
Jun 29
🧵Today, 29 Jun, marks the 10th anniversary of IS’s “caliphate” declaration. The group’s leadership celebrated the date in Mar (that’s where it fell in Hijri calendar), boasting that despite past setbacks, today IS was “growing stronger and expanding”, and called for recruits to its branches. In this thread I’ll summarise key takeaways from our in-depth analysis of IS activity in the first half of 2024:
1/ There was a notable increase in IS attacks in the first half of 2024, which included deadly attacks in Iran (3 Jan), Russia (22 Mar) and Turkey (28 Jan). There was also a surge in IS activity in Syria, Mozambique and DR Congo. This followed a year (2023) full of setbacks for IS as its attack figures plummeted, showing IS’s ability to adapt and endure (graph below shows quarterly figures, taken from IS's own claims of activity)Image
2/ In Syria this year, IS has claimed numerous deadly attacks on government forces, esp in the desert-like area known as the Badia. The recurrent ambushes prompted the Syrian gov, with the help of Russian air force, to launch a military campaign against IS in the desert this month. Last year IS was more secretive about its activity in Syria, failing to claim or belatedly claiming some attacks. We’ve noticed this behaviour creep back in the past month, as IS has been tight-lipped about some attacks it’s been widely blamed for
Read 22 tweets
Mar 28
🧵Sharing key points as I listen to IS leadership msg, with little or no insight at this point:
1/ marks 10th anniversary of its "caliphate" declaration (Ramadan of 2014, which that year fell on 29 Jun). Says despite IS was left for dead in Iraq & Syria (2017, 2019), it expanded to Africa & other places - "growing stronger & expanding" still
2/ urges IS members/militants to stay united and obey their leadership and stay true to their "bay'ah" pledge, and not be misled by lies or distortions (hint of possible divisions or disillusionment among some?)
Read 24 tweets
Mar 23
1/ Important to note that contrary to some reports by media outlets saying that IS’s Afghanistan-focused "Khorasan Province" branch (ISKP or ISIS-K) claimed responsibility for the Moscow attack, IS has NOT claimed the attack in the name of that particular branch, at least not yet
2/ The only claim that has come out so far is a brief one by IS’s official news outlet Amaq. In that claim, similar to most of Amaq’s style of reporting, no IS branch or regional affiliates were mentioned. Amaq simply attributed the attack to “soldiers of the Islamic State” Image
I normally don't like to share pics of IS's statements, but felt it's important to do so (above) to clarify that no branch was mentioned in that claim
Read 6 tweets
Jun 27, 2023
The new video from #ISIS's Syria branch is very disturbing in terms of the violence, showing dozens of executions of individuals in Syria who allegedly worked for government or Kurdish-led forces (SDF) across the country /1
The video appeared to have two key purposes: to deter anyone from working against IS in Syria, and to prove that the group continues to have capability and reach in the country, despite losing territory and leadership figures /2
In terms of production quality, the video is reminiscent of IS's pre-caliphate products, with limited production sophistication. Even the use of the infamous IS nashid Salil al-Sawarim harks back to the early days of IS propaganda and scenes of drive-by shootings /3
Read 4 tweets
Dec 26, 2022
Thread: Jihadists and Islamists have been divided over the Taliban’s banning female university education, although the majority have politely criticised the move, deeming it a violation of a Sharia /1
Some jihadists wondered if the ban reflected internal Taliban rivalry, with hardliners in Taliban ranks "winning" on the subject of female education /2
Those who tried to justify the Taliban move were careful to point out that the ban is "temporary", until certain Sharia conditions involving female education are met. They stressed the ban was an internal matter for the Afghan rulers that outsiders should not interfere in /3
Read 10 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(