1/ COVID Deaths are lower than horrible peaks, but seem to have plateau'd- as cases rise in several states are we due for another surge in deaths?
I don't think so.
(vaccines work)
I don't think so.
(vaccines work)
2/ It's important to remember just how much deaths lag infections. Many of the deaths being reported today will have first become infected a month ago, or even longer
The death data does not yet reflect the big surge in vaccine administration that happened in the past few weeks
The death data does not yet reflect the big surge in vaccine administration that happened in the past few weeks
3/ The recent surge in vaccinations has been impressive, and the group with the highest vaccination rates (appropriately) are the 65+
As @aslavitt46 reported, 73% of elderly vaccinated now (and 36% of adults) 👏👏👏
As @aslavitt46 reported, 73% of elderly vaccinated now (and 36% of adults) 👏👏👏
4/ But what has happened to the age distribution of deaths?
what do you see?
The group with the biggest drop in relative share are the 85+ which used to account for a third of cases, and are disproportionately represented in the early nursing home/ long-term care vaccinations
what do you see?
The group with the biggest drop in relative share are the 85+ which used to account for a third of cases, and are disproportionately represented in the early nursing home/ long-term care vaccinations
5/ With over 95% protection, vaccination of three-quarters of the elderly population will result in another big drop in deaths that we have yet to see the full impact of 🙏
To get the other 25% of elderly vaccinated may require outreach from primary care vs mass vacc sites
To get the other 25% of elderly vaccinated may require outreach from primary care vs mass vacc sites
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