Share this page!

Jon Worth Profile picture
Twitter logo
29 Mar, 7 tweets, 3 min read
Deep breath

It has been *repeatedly alleged* that J&J/Janssen vaccine being manufactured in Europe (Janssen plant in 🇳🇱) and finished in USA *could* be a problem for EU supply of that vaccine

But do we have *evidence* this is the case?

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Please do not reply to me about the rights or wrongs of this. Before we can answer the rights and wrongs, we need to know what is happening
We know USA has started using J&J/Janssen already - 2.8m doses as stated here:
fiercepharma.com/pharma/covid-1…

11m due this week:
reuters.com/article/us-hea…
And we know supply is slow, EU side:
politico.eu/article/despit…
We also know the USA signed a deal with J&J in 5 August 2020
jnj.com/johnson-johnso…

And with the Commission 8 Oct 2020
jnj.com/johnson-johnso…

Sound familiar...? 🤔
But the crux is this: are there doses manufactured in NL sent to the USA for finishing, that the USA is refusing to release back to Europe? And if so, how many?

Or is all legitimate according to contract?

Any pointers gratefully received!

/ends
P.S. Janssen's deal with IDK is justified precisely because of this *threat* US side, but again no details:
medicalxpress.com/news/2021-03-j…

Views on this @BioHJM @mattwardman @peter_g_knight? Anything in NL press @joelbasson?

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Jon Worth

Jon Worth Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jonworth

Jon Worth Profile picture
30 Mar
This New York Times political GeoGuessr is *fascinating*

I am just missing those micro-signals that I would *know* in UK or DE, but don't know for the USA...

nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Take this for example

Is there some micro-signal in that building I am missing that screams Biden? ImageImage
Or a suburb like this?

It has sidewalks, so I'd lean Biden, but it was Trump

What about two-storey houses in suburbs like this? Does that make any difference? Image
Read 6 tweets
Jon Worth Profile picture
29 Mar
OK, so next in the series of Jon looking at supply of each different COVID vaccine it's:

Novavax
This one is different to AZ, BioNTech, J&J etc., in that the EU has no APA with Novavax *yet*

Even that is somewhat confusing - Reuters reports that this is because Novavax is dragging its heels, citing production problems
reuters.com/article/health…
The UK meanwhile has a contract for 60 million doses
thesun.co.uk/news/14314756/…

As does the USA
cnbc.com/2020/07/07/us-…
Read 9 tweets
Jon Worth Profile picture
29 Mar
* Very tentative conclusions on Janssen / Johnson & Johnson vaccine supply *

It looks like EU legitimately feared a UK/AstraZeneca situation with USA for J&J - that vaccine produce in NL and finished in USA would be prevented from leaving back to EU
But two things have happened

First, J&J supply issues in the USA have not been fully solved, especially finishing
npr.org/sections/healt…
(thanks @el_snoop)
Second, EU countries together with Janssen and J&J, have found ways to do finishing (and even step up production) in the EU

At Reig Jofre 🇪🇸
reuters.com/article/idUSKB…

And IDT Biologika 🇩🇪 (temporarily)
idt-biologika.com/idt-biologika-…
Read 7 tweets
Jon Worth Profile picture
28 Mar
Number 10 to @ShippersUnbound & @cazjwheeler: will you write us a story for Sunday Times on how we’ll donate extra 💉 to 🇮🇪?

Times: sure! But how many will you donate...?

(Noise of keys tapping on the line)

Number 10: 3.7 million! ImageImage
Ok, do I know this happened? No. But that looks like a pretty big coincidence to me.

Not least because @nealerichmond @oconnellhugh also confirmed no offer had been made.
I’ve tried to work out if there was any other rationale for choosing that number. And I can’t find one. I’m happy to hear if there is one, and I’ll delete this thread if so.
Read 5 tweets
Jon Worth Profile picture
26 Mar
So EMA has today approved the Halix plant 🇳🇱 where AZ 💉 is manufactured

What are the implications of this?

EMA announcement:
ema.europa.eu/en/news/increa…

A 🧵 explaining it

1/10
Background

The Halix plant has been shrouded in mystery - why has EMA not approved it?

FT tried to explain
ft.com/content/8e2e99…

NRC dug deeper still - Google Translate here
translate.google.com/translate?hl=&…

2/10
There is also no confirmation UK's MHRA has approved Halix either, but we know UK received 1 million doses from the plant, sometime before 31 Jan (matches the numbers given by Commission yesterday) - presumably these are stocked unused somewhere

reuters.com/article/us-hea…

3/10 Image
Read 10 tweets
Jon Worth Profile picture
26 Mar
A little counterfactual

What if AstraZeneca had no exclusive 💉 agreement with UK, and had in Q1 supplied both UK and EU equally as a proportion of population from its UK and EU plants?
(Please don't shout at me "they didn't" (I know), "there was different funding arrangements" (I know), "UK started earlier" (I know) - those points are not central as you will see)
Getting stats on AZ deliveries to both UK and EU is complex. EU we can estimate pretty closely based on yesterday's COMM statement, and the Anagni doses - 29 million in Q1
Read 10 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @jonworth has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @jonworth!

Read all threads by @jonworth