One yardstick for measuring the White House's $3 trillion-over-10-years infrastructure plan and Congressional Democrats' $10tr counter-offer is that China issues about $500 billion in infrastructure debt each year.
This year's limit of ¥3.65tr ($560bn) is actually a cut relative to last year, when infra spending was boosted post-Covid:

globaltimes.cn/page/202101/12…
To be clear, those are figures for local government bonds in aggregate — but almost all of that goes on infrastructure, which receives non-local government financing in addition.

It sounds like the various U.S. infra plans will include some social-ish spending, too.
A trillion dollars buys a lot more infrastructure in China, as well.

In the U.S. it'll get you, what, a larger-than-usual crosswalk in Lower Manhattan?

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More from @davidfickling

29 Mar
Think the Ever Given was a monster ship? The next generation of container vessels is going to make it look like a bath toy, pushing up against hard limits for the size of boats:

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Container ships have again and again defied predictions that their size was approaching maximum limits.

One famed 1999 study argued that the biggest possible ships would be able to carry 18,000 containers, or TEUs (20ft-equivalent units). The Ever Given carries 20,124 TEUs.
At the time it launched in 2018, only a handful of 20,000+ TEU ships were on the sea, and the first had been launched less than a year ago.

There's now more than 100 of that size sailing or under construction. The biggest ones are 24,000 TEUs, 20% bigger than the Ever Given!
Read 36 tweets
26 Mar
Do you want a thread exploring the links between:

*that ship stuck in Suez
*the Trojan War
*the founding of Singapore
*and Chinese foreign policy, from the Belt and Road and South China Sea to Taiwan?

Of course you do!

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
The Ever Given getting stuck while traversing the Suez Canal is playing out as a sort of slapstick routine.

But it underlines a serious point that's in many ways the axis on which modern geopolitical tensions turn.

If you can control ocean straits, you can control the world.
That's been the case since ancient times.

We don't know that much about what caused the Trojan War or whether it even happened, but there's lots of evidence that historical Troy was a trading centre of huge importance to ancient Greek states:
Read 53 tweets
24 Mar
This is amazing.

England has more forest now than it did at the time of the Black Death.

The U.K. as a whole probably has more than during the Norman Conquest.

forestresearch.gov.uk/tools-and-reso….
("Probably" because the data gets very patchy outside of England as you go earlier. But it's hard to believe that 1086 Scotland had more forest than 2020 Scotland, given where it was in 1350)
Other crazy facts: Japan and South Korea are more densely forested than Brazil and Russia.

data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.L…
Read 5 tweets
4 Mar
Forget everything you're reading about what's happening in Washington DC, or Brussels, or London, or Glasgow.

The most important event in years to determine the fate of the global climate is happening in Beijing tomorrow:

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
That's when China's 14th Five Year Plan gets presented to the "two sessions" of its pseudo-parliament.

It's a hugely important document that will determine the direction of China's economy, from the largest to the smallest scales, until 2026.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
After Xi Jinping's pledge in September to hit peak emissions this decade and net zero by 2060, some of the most important detail will be what's announced on the climate front.

China last year accounted for more emissions than the U.S., European Union, and India *put together*. Image
Read 34 tweets
11 Feb
India's farmer protests aren't just about a piece of worthwhile but badly-handled agricultural legislation.

They're potentially the birth pangs of a more urbanized, prosperous India that will transform the world in the 21st century (thread):
bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
It's an honour to be working with @andymukherjee70 on this subject, and first of all you should read his heartfelt, blistering piece from last year on how India risks squandering its promise:
In this latest piece we wanted to explore one reason for hope.

India is on the brink of a potential take-off moment, with the share of the population working in agriculture about to drop below 40% — levels at which other Asian countries started to boom:
Read 19 tweets
15 Jan
"All energy transitions have one thing in common: They are prolonged affairs that take decades to accomplish" 🤔 ImageImage
The quote is @VaclavSmil
@VaclavSmil Notable that if Germany had just maintained nuclear at 2005 levels, all that brown coal could have been shut down by now (though black coal will probably be first to go)
Read 4 tweets

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