UPDATE ON MARKETS: Man! I'm glad I didn't advice investors to cash in all they're local equity investments a year ago to invest abroad. #JSE improved by 1.6% during March, bringing 12-month returns to 54%. SA Property followed by gaining 1.2%, while the SA Bonds decreased 2.5%.
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The FTSE/ JSE All Share (+3.82%) again enjoyed a much better month than the MSCI All Country World Index (+2.67%) again in USD terms. The 12-month performance for the JSE in USD-terms still leads the MSCI ACWI’s performance by nearly 32%. Wow!
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South African Small Caps again dominated during March, growing by 7.7%. Large Caps and Mid-Caps grew by 1.3% and 3.4%, respectively.
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Foreigners returned as net buyers of South African Equities in March. They were however net sellers of local bonds, which might be contributed to the higher US Yields.
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From a sectoral point of view, March saw the Sectors very evenly matched.
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The Rand’s value AGAIN strengthened by 2.2% against the USD. This was a positive move as ALL other BRICS currency movements weakened against the USD. This helped the Rand to further extend its lead as best performing BRICS currency position over a 5-year period.
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The US M2 Money Supply YoY growth rate reached a new all-time high for the tenth time since early 2020.
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The US Dollar Index broke above its 200-day Moving Average, with the 50-day moving closer and closer to the 200-day. Will be monitoring a possible Golden-cross in April, which could be positive for the USD technically.
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Most commodities took a breather in March. Brent Oil was the biggest loser, losing 3.9%. Palladium however bucked the trend, by gaining a whopping 11.1% over the same period.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Relative to broader asset classes globally, Local Equities continue to lead strongly over the short and longer term. Local Bonds and Local Property have also delivered competitive performance, while Global Property remain weaker across multiple timeframes.
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2/16
FTSE/JSE All Share delivered a 1.6% gain, SA Bonds up 2.6%, SA Listed Property surged by 7.84% (best local asset class for the month), while SA Cash remained stable at 0.6%. On a 12-month basis, both Property (23.6%) and Bonds (20.1%) continued to outperform Cash (7.4%).
3/16
In US dollar terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index gained 1.93% in October, slightly underperforming global equities (MSCI ACWI up 2.13%). Over the past 12 months, however, it remained a standout performer, rising 35.00% compared to the ACWI’s 22.51%.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Local assets continue to shine, with four of the five best-performing asset classes being South African. In short: no local, no lekker this August.
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2/15
In August, the FTSE/JSE All Share (JSE) advanced by 3.53%, lifting the 12-month return to a strong 25.82%. SA Bonds gained 0.70%, SA Listed Property rose 2.80%, while SA Cash returned 0.55%.
3/15
A graph that many local doomsdayers prefer not to look at. In USD terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index surged a massive 6.83% in August, far outpacing both the MSCI All Country World Index (2.47%) and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (1.28%).
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Locally, the South African Reserve Bank lowered the repo rate by 0.25% in May — a move that certainly brought renewed optimism to the markets. Local remained lekker for 2025.
2/15
In May, the FTSE/JSE All Share (JSE) rose by 3.14%, bringing the 12-month return to an impressive 27.30%. Local Bonds returned 2.70%, while SA Listed Property gained 2.32%. SA Cash continued to offer a steady 0.59% monthly return.
3/15
In USD terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index increased by 6.57% in May, significantly outperforming both the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (4.27%) and the MSCI All Country World Index (5.75%). Those who advised people over the past five years to sell all their South African assets and move everything offshore are now silent.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: FTSE/JSE All Share demonstrated another impressive performance in July, outperforming the MSCI All Country World Index. JSE recorded a 4.01% increase, while South African bonds (ALBI) & the local property market improved by 2.29% and 2.3%, respectively in July.
2/15
The JSE experienced a significant surge in July, gaining 9.7% in USD value. Comparatively, the MSCI All Country Index had a more modest growth of 3.66%, while the MSCI Emerging Markets Index witnessed a 6.22% increase.
3/15
The SA Fear & Greed Index recovered and moved closer to EXTREME GREED territory during July.
THREAD: A picture is worth a thousand words. Let's look at a few of the globe's largest #ETF's & their graphs & see if we can make some sense of the current market environment.
#SouthAfrica might be down over 1YR, but $EZA performance in USD (-15.9%) is still way ahead of both $URTH (DM -22.2%) & $EEM (EM -28.9%) over the same period.