Alina Chan Profile picture
2 Apr, 21 tweets, 10 min read
Several scientists are reasonably curious about what the issues are with most prominent papers describing the same Guangdong pangolin CoV that shares a very similar spike RBD with SARS2.

On Nov 11, @Nature put an editor's note on one of these papers... nature.com/articles/s4158…
If you're deeply curious about this, you should send an email to @Nature asking them to publish the authors' original response to the manuscript @shingheizhan and I submitted to them last May. We also recommend asking to see the peer reviewer comments. biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
Honestly, it's taking a lot of my will power not to just post these publicly so everyone can take a good look.
On the other paper in @PLOSPathogens who were also alerted in May 2020, but have not bothered to post any editor's note or expression of concern on the article almost one year later...
journals.plos.org/plospathogens/…
I invite you to read these emails published by @USRightToKnow especially the ones with the editor of the paper, Dr Stanley Perlman.

usrtk.org/biohazards-blo…
Since publishing these initial (still uncorrected) papers, the same authors have gone on to release more manuscripts on the same pangolin CoV.

The @nature authors posted this preprint in June 2020 with new co-authors. Unsure where it is in peer review. biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
In our preprint, we point out that "on June 22, 2020, Xiao et al. added a new sample, pangolin_10 to their Nature paper’s bioproject.. it is very likely that the first public description of pangolin_10 can instead be found in their recent Li et al." biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
I know this sounds enormously technical, but you should see what is in the authors' response and how they explain these observations.
Last month, the @PLOSPathogens authors, who afaik still haven't produced the data they claimed to use in their May 2020 paper, published this new paper with some very short sequence fragments closely matching those of the GD pangolin CoV.
frontiersin.org/articles/10.33…
I don't know what else to say... this new paper talks about the same batches of pangolins as their @PLOSPathogens paper, for which the data has not been shared yet.
Brought to you by people who claim no relationship with @nature authors despite co-publishing the first pangolin CoV dataset (Oct 2019) that they then split up and used in their separate papers (Feb 2020) to produce 99.95% identical pangolin CoV genomes. usrtk.org/biohazards-blo…
Their March 2021 paper says that they found a total of 5 (out of 50) pangolins that tested positive for the CoV. "three healthy and two dead."

Can you please match them up to the CoV+ pangolins in the @nature paper as well as the 2019 Liu et al. Viruses paper that you authored?
Liu et al. 2019 - same senior author as the March 2021 paper - "We collected 21 organ samples of lung, lymph, and spleen with obvious symptoms from 11 dead Malayan pangolins" from an original 21 pangolins in a March 2019 batch.
mdpi.com/1999-4915/11/1…
Xiao et al. 2020 @nature "obtained the lung tissues from 4 Chinese pangolins (Manis pentadactyla) and 25 Malayan pangolins (Manis javanica).. March–August 2019.. virus-positive Malayan pangolins were all from the first transport" nature.com/articles/s4158…
Liu et al. 2020 @PLOSPathogens - same senior author March 2021 paper - "March and July of 2019, we detected Betacoronaviruses in three individuals from two sets of smuggled Malayan pangolins.. (n = 27) .. all three animals suffered.. respiratory disease" journals.plos.org/plospathogens/…
Li et al. 2020 @biorxivpreprint - same senior authors @nature - "we studied 28 Malayan pangolins that were confiscated in Guangdong Province between March-August 2019.. 15 animals, including six pregnant females, naturally infected by the virus" biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
Different batch of authors Choo et al. 2020 "At the end of March 2019.. Of these 103 living pangolins, 21 of them were transferred to the Guangdong wildlife rescue center.. Sixteen.. died quickly.. five pangolins alive by mid-April.. We analyzed two" conbio.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.11…
This whole Guangdong pangolin saga is starting to become some kind of mathematical riddle.

So many groups are publishing data off the same batch (or two) of pangolins confiscated in China. Each study providing a different account of how many were healthy or sick or CoV+.
Nearly missed one more recent preprint - by authors from the Choo et al. paper - "we investigated a possible pCoV skin infection in a Malayan pangolin named “Dahu” seized by customs in the Guangdong province (China) before dying"
researchsquare.com/article/rs-354…
I don't think it's possible to tell from all of these papers which samples were taken from which pangolins, and how many actually were CoV+. You'd have to conduct an investigation interviewing the authors implicated across these papers and preprints to get the answers.
What we do know is that the 2 peer-reviewed papers @nature @PLOSPathogens publishing near identical GD pangolin CoV genome primarily based on same dataset (one is on GenBank, the other is in GISAID) suffer from considerable scientific issues. Our analysis: biorxiv.org/content/10.110…

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More from @Ayjchan

30 Mar
Statement by the Governments of Australia, Canada, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Israel, Japan, Latvia, Lithuania, Norway, the Republic of Korea, Slovenia, the United Kingdom, and the United States of America on #OriginsofCOVID 🇦🇺🇨🇦🇨🇿🇩🇰🇪🇪🇮🇱🇯🇵🇱🇻🇱🇹🇳🇴🇰🇷🇸🇮🇬🇧🇺🇸
state.gov/joint-statemen…
“Asked by about the (China-WHO) report, White House spokesperson Jen Psaki said Tuesday it lacked crucial data, and represents a “partial and incomplete picture.””

🌋 article by @emilyrauhala

washingtonpost.com/world/who-wuha…
“Secretary of State Antony Blinken, expressed concern about content and framing of the report, saying Beijing “helped to write it.””
Read 13 tweets
30 Mar
The @WHO clarified today that the China-WHO origins of covid-19 team did not extensively assess the lab leak hypothesis.

And that WHO is ready to deploy future missions involving specialist experts to investigate a lab leak.

who.int/director-gener…
By some error, the annexes to the full report by the China-WHO origins joint study team are still missing. This made it impossible for the press to ask questions about some potentially critical information stuck in the supplementary document (~200 pages).

who.int/health-topics/…
What might be stashed away in these annexes?

First of all, the team membership.

We still do not know who the 17 Chinese national members on the China-WHO team are.

That's ~50% of the team whose names and affiliations we still don't know, months after the study was set up.
Read 9 tweets
27 Mar
“If SARS-CoV-2 came from a lab, the result would likely be a global crackdown on all high-risk biosafety labs, says Chan.”
qz.com/1986084/why-do…
Journalists need to do due diligence. When you interview a scientist, have you checked whether they could stand to lose $millions, possibly even the ability to retain employees if it were determined that COVID-19 emerged due to research activities?
There's a common perception that scientists are somehow anointed saints and have no conflicts of interest that could lead them to temptation.

Getting your PhD doesn't free you from the temptations of mankind.
Read 7 tweets
24 Mar
Please no one ever ask me again why it's important to find the origins of a pandemic...

"... governments and scientists agree that deciphering the creation story is key to reducing the risk of future pandemics."

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Unfortunately, the author @jwgale goes straight to HIV from the 1920s...

How many people do you know who were alive in the 1920s?
We cannot keep talking about how things were done literally 100 years ago.
Read 22 tweets
23 Mar
I have a hunch that the lab leak hypothesis is going to really go mainstream this week.

So I hope that science communicators will take it up on themselves to help the public process this information in a rational and non-alarmist way.
I’m hoping that most of the discussion going forward will be about how we can mitigate the risk of lab pathogen pandemics and quickly trace the origins of future outbreaks.

As opposed to “look at all the racists and conspiracists who said covid-19 came from a lab.”
If scientists & science communicators don’t fulfil this essential role of explaining how pandemics can emerge from various types of research activities, it’s a guarantee that less informed people will.

You can’t not do the work and then complain less qualified people did it.
Read 6 tweets

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