I’m hoping that most of the discussion going forward will be about how we can mitigate the risk of lab pathogen pandemics and quickly trace the origins of future outbreaks.
As opposed to “look at all the racists and conspiracists who said covid-19 came from a lab.”
If scientists & science communicators don’t fulfil this essential role of explaining how pandemics can emerge from various types of research activities, it’s a guarantee that less informed people will.
You can’t not do the work and then complain less qualified people did it.
Is it true that wildlife trafficking and habitat destruction are driving the emergence of novel pathogens?
Absolutely.
Is it also plausible that research activities could be exposing humans to novel pathogens, which can hitch a ride to cities?
This thread may also be useful to journalists and science communicators who haven't been able to believe that COVID-19 could have originated from lab/research activities.
I kind of expected this day to come, but still surprised that it actually arrived.
I'm going to do a quick FAQ🧵 for the public (both scientists & non-scientists) who are just hearing about the possibility of COVID-19 / SARS-CoV-2 having emerged from lab or research activities.
Is it racist to ask whether COVID-19 emerged from a lab or from the wildlife trade in China? No.
Have racist people asked the question above? Yes.
More importantly, will people call you a racist if you ask whether COVID-19 emerged from a lab or from the wildlife trade in China?
Unfortunately, yes, it is quite likely they will call you a racist and more.
And yes, even if you're Asian, you could be called a race traitor.
Sincere thanks to @jbloom_lab who has taken a lot of heat recently for raising the lab leak hypothesis and for defending me, a “conspiracy peddler” according to some scientists.
Also many thanks to @canardbruno and @DecrolyE who have been publicly discussing the lab leak hypothesis and were among the first to point out the unique furin cleavage site and why it is concerning that it was missed in the WIV’s first papers on COVID-19.
Going to do a serious thread on the new TWIV episode released today because it raises so many commonly held opinions on why #laborigins#labescape of COVID-19 was (extremely) unlikely.
I'm very, very glad that TWIV gets the obvious strawman out of the way immediately.
Very few experts - I can't think of any off the top of my head - are claiming that SARS2 was completely, magically designed from no similar virus in nature.
Got a clue for the #OriginsofCOVID#PopsicleOrigins hypothesis:
At the 15:00 min mark Peter Daszak says they’ve got really good cold chain from remote sampling sites back to the labs - at least 16,000 bat samples collected.
Finally found a source of the myth going around that 3% of people in Yunnan have SARS antibodies and millions of people are getting bat viruses each year. This is a miscommunication. See the actual paper only surveying people living close to caves where SARS detected...
In contrast to the interview, the paper says “2.7% seropositivity for the high risk group of residents living in close proximity to bat colonies suggests that spillover is a relatively rare event” albeit some sero(+) could’ve faded in this high risk group. ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
I think this piece by Charles @schmidtwriting was particularly well written because of how balanced it is. There were parts that I didn't like and had to grapple with. A lot has happened in the last year since I started looking into the evidence surrounding the #OriginsofCOVID
It comes at a time when the WHO-China team is expected to release their full report in the coming week(s). And @JamieMetzl and ~two dozen scientists (me too!) have posted a letter in the @WSJ pointing out major major flaws in the WHO-China not-an-investigation joint mission.