On the apparent @NigAirForce NAF475 Alphajet loss: 1) There is no evidence the aircraft was actually shot down
2) The editing with the photoshopped explosions leads one to assume that even if #BokoHaram managed to score a hit on the plane, it did not explode in the air because
2) The editing with the photoshopped explosions leads one to assume that even if #BokoHaram managed to score a hit on the plane, it did not explode in the air because
3) The wreckage appears concentrated in one spot, making an mid air explosion unlikely as that would have dispersed wreckage over quite distant
4)The video shows a burning aircraft descending at speed almost vertically towards the ground
4)The video shows a burning aircraft descending at speed almost vertically towards the ground
5) Yet one of the deceased pilots appears to be in an ejector seat with a partially deployed.
6) It would be useful for people to understand the difference between missiles, heavy machine guns, RPG & air defence artillery.
So What?
6) It would be useful for people to understand the difference between missiles, heavy machine guns, RPG & air defence artillery.
So What?
7) Considering the tempo of air ops, the number of aircraft lost in 10 years is within reasonable boundaries.
8) Even if this was a successfully shootdown, unless it was a deliberate air ambush, it does not indicate a massive step change in capability.
8) Even if this was a successfully shootdown, unless it was a deliberate air ambush, it does not indicate a massive step change in capability.
9)The NAF however should review its tactics to identify vulnerabilities such as multiple passes from the same direction over a target
10) The enemy’s ability to dominate the information space is impressive, they have produced a high quality combat video on 48 hours
10) The enemy’s ability to dominate the information space is impressive, they have produced a high quality combat video on 48 hours
11) They have taken control of the narrative and message, despite being in the bush. How come their propaganda is better than that of a wealthy nation state?
12) Hopefully lessons on close air support, tactics, search and rescue, information warfare etc, will be learnt from this
12) Hopefully lessons on close air support, tactics, search and rescue, information warfare etc, will be learnt from this
13) But it is hoped that in the interim the bodies of Flt Lt John Abolarinwa and Flt Lt Ebiakpo Chapele may be recovered and their sacrifice honoured by all Nigerians.
May the Labours of our Heroes past and present never be in vein
May the Labours of our Heroes past and present never be in vein
Apologies for the numerous typos
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