There are six counties in Georgia that, between the 2012 election and the 2016 election, experienced a double digit drop in voter registration despite NOT having a drop in population.

I’m not sure why this is.
Wheeler County, GA went from having 3,464 registered voters in 2012 to 2,705 registered voters in 2016 (-21.91%). The overall population slightly rose.

Lamar County, GA went from 11,649 registered voters in 2012 to 9,786 registered voters in 2016 (-15.99%). The population rose.
Catoosa County, Georgia had 41,328 registered voters in 2012 but 34,831 registered voters in 2016 (-15.72%). But the overall population rose.

Appling County, Georgia had 10,955 registered voters in 2012 but 9,242 registered voters in 2016 (-15.64%). The population slightly rose.
Clayton County, Georgia had 150,049 registered voters in 2012 but only 134,164 registered voters in 2016 (-14.02%). The overall population rose.

And Troup County, Georgia had 40,524 registered voters in 2012 but had 35,513 registered voters in 2016 (-12.37%). Population rose.
Not sure why this happened and I am going to dig into it further. But a double digit drop in voter registration in a four year period despite the population NOT shrinking at all seems potentially notable.
Wheeler County is 37.8% black.
Lamar County is 29.8% black.
Catoosa County is 2.9% black.
Appling County is 19.6% black.
Clayton County is 72.9% black.
Troup County is 36.5% black.

Not sure if there is a relationship between these facts or not. But it bears further study.

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More from @TheValuesVoter

3 Apr
Let’a take a minute to understand the broader context surrounding the new Georgia voting law. Let’s take a minute to look at the world from the perspective of a Republican politician from Georgia

It’s not a pretty place.

Indulge me for a trip down recent memory lane.
2016 - Trump wins Georgia by 5.09 points. Which sounds fine except for the fact that it’s freaking Georgia! And Romney won the state by 7.82 points just four years earlier. No need to panic, right?
2018 - Wrong! Brian Kemp wins the Governorship but by a puny 1.4 points. In the 2014 election, Nathan Deal won the Governorship by 7.8 points and THAT was close. Something’s not right.

2018 - The GOP won the Lt. Governor race by only 3.2 points (GOP won by 15.98 points in 2014).
Read 12 tweets
3 Apr
You know, if the GOP had put as much energy and effort into reaching out to black voters as they’re putting into these “election security” (voter suppression) efforts, there might not even be a nationally viable Democratic Party.
If the GOP had continued the efforts that Ken Mehlman had started back in the mid-2000s, it would have made some significant inroads with black voters. Even if they had taken their own advice in the 2012 “Autopsy” report, it would be better positioned today.
Actually trying to get people to vote for you is considerably easier than trying to pass hundreds of laws across dozens of states aimed at trying to make it harder for people to vote.

Plus, by courting votes, unlike enacting suppression laws. you don’t get your state boycotted.
Read 6 tweets
3 Apr
Which course of action do you think would have been better for the @GOP’s long term viability as a party?

A) Make serious and sustained efforts to make inroads with black voters?


B) Make a serious and sustained effort to make it harder for some of them to vote?
Put it this way. A Quinnipiac poll showed that the overwhelming majority (80%) of black voters thought Trump was racist. But he made some outreach efforts to black voters. And he did slightly better with blacks in 2020 than he did in 2016.…
Trump started his 2016 campaign by insinuating that a significant portion of Mexicans crossing the border illegally into the US were rapists. But his campaign made concerted efforts to reach out to latino voters. And he did notably better with the group in 2020 than in 2016.
Read 4 tweets
2 Apr
I find it somewhat hilarious when the same people who spent most of 2021 complaining about “Cancel Culture” start tweeting out #BoycottMLB.

So you don’t hate Cancel Culture as much as you claimed in all your rants for the last couple of months, huh?
Ironic that the "Conservative" war on Cancel Culture might have itself been Cancelled.

Nothing is safe, it seems.
Aside from the 2020 Presidential election, here are the commercial brands that the critics of Cancel Culture have tried to cancel over the years:

Star Wars
"Hamilton" (the Broadway Play)
Oreo Cookies
Read 6 tweets
2 Apr
So, today's #jobsreport was a really good bit of news for both the country economically and probably for Biden politically.

Biden now has the largest number of jobs added to US payrolls in the first two full months of a Presidential term in history (February was revised up). Image
Comparing Biden's first two full months in office (February and March, 2021) with Trump's (February and March, 2017), the job numbers for the exact same point in their terms are:

Biden (02/2021-03/2021): 1.384 million jobs added
Trump (02/2021-03/2021): 0.322 million jobs added
As mentioned before, Trump was the first US President since Herbert Hoover to have a net loss of jobs during the span of a full Presidential term. The US lost 2.876 million jobs between February, 2017 and January, 2021. Most of the losses came in the last year.
Read 6 tweets
27 Mar
There are a bunch of states that, if you compare the turnout rates during Presidential Elections and the GOP's margins for Presidential Elections over the last 4 to 5 elections, have an odd quirk.

They always move in the opposite directions.
In other words, in these states, the higher the turnout, the worse the GOP does. And the lower the turnout, the better the GOP does.

There are 3 states that have followed this pattern since 2004 and another 6 that have followed it since 2008.
All but one of these 9 states has a population that is at least 10% black, 10% latino or both. The one exception is the state of Montana, which also follows this pattern. The more people have voted, the worse the GOP has done during Presidential elections and visa versa.
Read 11 tweets

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