Note:
> 8 cases purged
> 8 recovs purged/changed status
Daily % Change & Crude Days-to-Double
Conf= 1.2689%, 145 days
Recov= 0.0161%, 163 days
Deaths= 0.0379%, 167 days
Net increase in active = 8,200
Data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
> 8 cases purged
> 8 recovs purged/changed status
Daily % Change & Crude Days-to-Double
Conf= 1.2689%, 145 days
Recov= 0.0161%, 163 days
Deaths= 0.0379%, 167 days
Net increase in active = 8,200
Data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
https://twitter.com/DOHgovph/status/1378980820354887682
I am seeing some signs of slowing, but not yet definitive.
Would 8k-10k cases be our new typical number of cases?
The end of the pandemic is far from sight.
Would 8k-10k cases be our new typical number of cases?
The end of the pandemic is far from sight.
The predicted no. of new reported cases for April 6, 2021 is 9,997 (90% CI: 6,926 -- 13,811).
The methods are based on epiforecasts.io/covid/methods.…, using the most recent 180 days of data available as of March 28, 2021, and adjusted to DOH reporting delays.
The methods are based on epiforecasts.io/covid/methods.…, using the most recent 180 days of data available as of March 28, 2021, and adjusted to DOH reporting delays.
The previous predicted no. of new reported cases for April 5, 2021 is 12,775 (90% CI: 8,920 -- 17,116). Outside confidence. Let's see if this is a sign.
Holiday effects are possible, so let's wait until the effect gets diluted around Thursday or Friday.
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