@transatlantic @DavidVickery1 See, the problem with your reasoning is that whenever cases *fall* after governments impose lockdowns or other restrictions, you always attribute that to the lockdown. When cases *rise* after loosening, you attribute that to the loosening.
When cases *rise* after lockdowns, you say they would have risen further without them. When they *fall* after loosening, that just means other factors hindered the spread. It's a classic of selective biased reasoning, heads I win, tails you lose.
I'm inviting you to take the long-term perspective based on longitudinal time-series data, not random noisy news blips here and there. And when you look at that data thoroughly, as I have (and you haven't), it emerges that there is *no clear relationship* between
government policy and Covid case rates, aside from some exceptional outlier cases such as totalitarian dictatorships (which can enforce restrictions impossible in a democracy) and remote island nations. For the broad mass of ordinary countries, there is no reliable
statistical relationship between government mandates and Covid transmission rates. The evidence is out there, you just have to look for it. And abandon your ideological preconceptions.
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