Weekly French Covid Thread
Pr. Macron’s gamble last week on a 4-week nationwide lockdown light – a gamble on top of a gamble – calls for signs of a weakening of the 3rd wave of the pandemic by mid-April. The stats so far are vaguely encouraging but hard to read conclusively.
1/8
Pr. Macron’s gamble last week on a 4-week nationwide lockdown light – a gamble on top of a gamble – calls for signs of a weakening of the 3rd wave of the pandemic by mid-April. The stats so far are vaguely encouraging but hard to read conclusively.
1/8
There has been a definite slowing but not yet a peaking, of the average number of daily cases (see @Nicolasberrod graph below) Deaths have fallen back again, after rising last week. The hospital and acute care populations continue to rise rapidly. 2/8
On the other strand of Macron’s gamble – the acceleration of the vaccine roll-out – the figures look v. good (despite a falling off over the 3-day Easter weekend). France should hit its April 15 target of 10m first vaccination by tomorrow or Friday, one week early. 3/8
Forty large vaccinodomes have opened or will open in days. Over 12m doses are due to arrive in France this month. Despite scattered signs of resistance to the AstraZeneca vaccine, the French roll-out should accelerate again beyond its present 2,000,000 1st/2nd jabs a week. 4/8
This week’s C19 stats.
The daily av. of cases scarcely rose in the last 7 days from 36,045 to 36,560. The count may have been falsified by Easter hols and problems with the counting system. But there does appear to have been a slackening in the pandemic (now 85% UK variant). 5/8
The daily av. of cases scarcely rose in the last 7 days from 36,045 to 36,560. The count may have been falsified by Easter hols and problems with the counting system. But there does appear to have been a slackening in the pandemic (now 85% UK variant). 5/8
Deaths also have fallen to an average of 276.5 a day, after 347 last week. The running Covid total is now 97,273. France will pass the grim 100,000 deaths milestone by mid-month. All of this easing – if genuine – should presumably be credited to the previous local lockdowns. 6/8
But stats for acute care/hospitals remain worryingly high and explain why Macron felt that he had to take tougher action last Wed. Acute care patients rose by 10% this week to 5,626, the highest in almost a year. There are 30,639 Covid patients in hosp – 2,176 up on last week 7/8
Hang in there. 8/8
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
