We’re seeing high enthusiasm for #COVIDVaccine. Projections=straight line; 78% vaccinated by July 2➡️tinyurl.com/3atkmxu8

By when do you expect uptake plateauing?
@EricTopol @R_Thaler @meganranney @ChelseaClinton @ProfHeidiLarson @abuttenheim @celinegounder @NateSilver538
What do you think @DrEricDing @DataDrivenMD @bhrenton @RWeintraubMD? Others?

(🚨 Spoiler alert: We collected fresh data, ran some models & we’ll have an answer to this shortly!) @SurgoVentures
I keep thinking of other folks whose opinion I’d like to hear on this: @zeynep @MadhuPai @alexismadrigal @edyong209 @Atul_Gawande...
Thank you to everyone who took the poll!!

Our answer is out: @SurgoVentures projections show #CovidVaccine uptake will slow by the end of THIS MONTH (30.1% of you were right!).

See graph 👇 & this 🧵 to learn more:

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More from @SemaSgaier

9 Apr
📣 HOT OFF THE PRESS: The US is averaging 3M covid shots/day - great! So, we are on our way to herd immunity, right??
Not so fast! Our projections 👇 show that starting end of APRIL, #COVIDVaccine uptake will slow down considerably. 🧵 1/8
Watch the turn the ➡️takes when we hit July. Based on responses from @SurgoVentures' new survey, a sizable proportion of US adults (33%) will still be holding out by then: 7% want to wait 1 yr; 10% not sure when they'll get vax; 16% say won't get vax ever... 2/8
…consequently, our projections show verrrrrrrrrry slow uptake from then to a YEAR FROM NOW: April 2022. When only 58% of Americans would be vaccinated - definitely NOT the herd immunity that we need. 3/8
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