Real Madrid pod is out and unsurprisingly there is detailed look at our pressing using our unique data. The narrative that "we didn't press" is wrong. We pressed Real 167 times and the Leipzing first leg was 172. The issue was where and how we pressed. THREAD
One of the biggest stories is that Jota playing the centre forward role did not press Kroos once during the entire match. In fact neither Jota or Mane pressed Kroos during the match. Jota and Mane pressed the same people in the same locations (Vasquez, Militao, Modric)
We talked quite a bit about the roles of Mane and Jota when both play and how they interchange from the left. Is it a tactical decision or is Jota still learning the pressing patterns?
The primary issue was that we were unable to press in packs or waves, mostly this was a function of Real's tactics. the only zones where we able to press as a team were on the left and right either side of halfway. Nothing in the final 3rd or across the Real defence
Contrast this with the Leipzig match. Against Real Salah and Jota mostly pressed the back 4 but the Real back line was generally quite deep when they did so. Combined with our own centre backs dropping off, the distance from front to back was far too great to press systemically
Jota/Salah pressed high on their own and were isolated. It was easy for Real to get the ball into midfield where they would play a short pass into the fullbacks to draw our players in before switching play once, sometimes twice to finally find a free man with time on the ball
You can see the isolated circles around the Real box here, this is nearly all Salah and Jota.
The end result was that Real didn't give us a direct possession win from pressing within 40 metres of their goal!
If we did press them and there was a risk of losing it, Real simply went long and gave it back to us on halfway and we had to start again.
In summary, we created a problem for ourselves with Jota's positioning off ball, but the rest was Real brilliance.

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More from @AIUnderPressure

22 Sep 20
Chelsea podcast recorded and out soon. The most presses we've made in any match for nearly 2 years (260), despite having 61% possession and playing 45 mins with a man advantage. Incredible intensity from the Reds
The most impressive thing about our pressing in was the balance of the system. Coming up are 3 pressmaps and look at the symmetry in the left and right halves of the pitch
1. Mo and Mane. Either high, central inside the oppostion box or to the outside of the halfspaces
2. Bobby and Naby. High and central between the D and centre circle focusing on Jorginho (Bobby) and Kovacic (Naby). Bobby targeted Jorginho 13 times in total and Naby 15 on Kovacic
Read 5 tweets
20 Sep 20
It's that time of the week.

More Referee stats courtesy of our friends at @URef_Official - please do give them a follow.

Thread to follow! 👇👇

Chelsea V Liverpool
Referee: Paul Tierney
VAR Referee: Michael Oliver
Chelsea have a perfect 5 Matches, 5 Wins record under Paul Tierney in the Premier League - 100% Win Rate. Tierney is Chelsea’s best Referee in terms of Win Rate.

Liverpool also have a strong record under Tierney in the Premier League since 2014 - 78% (5th best) - a 7-1-1 record.
Key Player Watch: Sadio Mane was involved in 5 Key Decisions in the 2019/2020 Premier League season - 80% (4/5) of these decisions went in favour of the Liverpool attacker. Mane has a 14.3% Key Decision Involvement Frequency in the Premier League (15th Highest of all PL Players).
Read 7 tweets
18 Sep 20
We are seriously excited about the Diogo #Jota links. Almost a statistical clone of Sadio Mane at Southampton Image
Damn typo. Mane XA should be 0.17, not 0.7
And this is Jota vs Mane LAST 2 SEASONS. Considering Jota is 5 years younger and on a weaker team this is a very strong comparison Image
Read 4 tweets
12 Sep 20
We've been sent some interesting stats by our friends at @URef_Official who use VAR data and the Uref app
The league average "VAR Overturn Rate" is 17.8% of decisions.
Paul Tierney is today's VAR Ref and his Overturn Rate is just 9.5%, the 5th lowest of all refs. Tierney rarely overturns the on-field official who today is Michael Oliver.
Michael Oliver only got 57% of his "key decisions" correct last season, the 2nd worst ref performance in the EPL
Read 4 tweets
31 Jul 20
Thread:
LFC had effectively won the league on Jan 29th after 24 games when we had a 19 point lead (some could argue we had it won earlier than that but there is no argument after GW24)
This thread is going to look at the numbers from those first 24 games when LFC were W23 D1 L0 F56 A15. It is going to ignore everything that happened after as inconsequential. All XG data from understat.com
We have identified 4 critical factors across the 24 games
1) Game State.
In those first 24 games the most important thing to note is that #LFC spent 60% of the time WINNING. This is an almost unprecedented figure in the EPL.
Furthermore, only 8% was spent losing (187 mins)
Read 12 tweets
28 Jun 20
Great question from @CadyJon on Wijnaldum. What makes him so important, does our data tell any stories? Well he presses about 30% less than our all other midfielders which lines up with his on-ball metrics.
But one thing we have found is that when Gini presses AS PART OF A CHAIN he is one of the strongest in the team and significantly better than the other midfielders except Ox. This data is all comps from the start of last season Image
We define a "chain" as when the presses happens within 3 seconds and 30 metres of the previous press. Here's a GIF of an example. If Gini is 4-6% better than the other mids that means 50-70 fewer failed presses over a season
Read 4 tweets

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