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11 Apr, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Its strange to find one of Ontario's top bureaucrats tweeting evidence he's unable to do his job.

But anyways onto the data and issues that require further clarification. 1/
There remains a large disconnect between new admissions and the ICU bed census. Likewise, where are these patients originating (community, ward transfers, warehousing of patients)? This isn't clear. 2/
If from the community, shouldn't Ontario public health consider whether the rise in vaccine uptake is fostering infection? Ontario's data points to an association. 3/
Certainly, we are seeing very public evidence that healthy people are being impacted. More clarifying information is essential. End.

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More from @DonaldWelsh16

Donald Welsh Profile picture
12 Apr
Its monday morning again and your weekly reminder that you are in the midst of the largest social policy disaster in Canadian history.

Its a catastrophic failure across the entire governmental landscape. 1/
It's hard, inside a bubble, to see the magnitude of the failure. But consider the following.

Fiscal/monetary

1) 500 billion of direct gov't spending that we know of.

2) Billions of governmental loans that will never be repaid. Details still emerging.

2/
3) 500 billion in money printing to support capital and bond markets.

4) Compromised fiscal control at the federal treasury. First world pillage and looting.

5) Tens of thousands of bankrupted businesses.

6) Personal insolvency at record levels approaching 60 percent.

3/
Read 8 tweets
Donald Welsh Profile picture
11 Apr
Listen to three beautiful minds illuminate epidemiological principles as they apply to C19. Clear, crisp thoughts and infinite patience. Truth is folks, Canada did everything wrong and I mean everything. 1/
Dr. Kuldorff was prescient in saying the C19 response has done immeasurable, long term damage to public health. Trust has disappeared and he isn't sure how it can be restored. 2/
Canada is experiencing a broad systematic failure within public health, from schooling to policy implementation. This community will have to be stripped bare and everything must be restructured to serve the needs of a 21st century society. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Donald Welsh Profile picture
11 Apr
Many stimulating conversations this week but one topic stood out. The fringe pseudoscience of Covid Zero. Its clear to me those driving this bus will be in time forever branded as wingnuts, their reputations shattered and their careers shortened. 1/
Their fanatical policies have done immeasurably damage. They are a shocking combination of ignorance and hubris. They have shattered the principles of the enlightenment, Canada's economic foundation and the mental health of millions. A complete abject failure. 2/
Its time to cut through the nonsense. Public health and academia are responsible for this disaster. A post hoc, soft public inquiry won't be enough. We need a full judicial review with prosecutors to illuminate the truth and to lay civil/criminal charges, if needed. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Donald Welsh Profile picture
8 Apr
New Ontario data to ponder.

When seeing a doctor for the flu, often they ask if you received the flu shot. That's because in a small number of cases, an attenuated live virus vaccine can elicit an active infection. See Gov't of Canada document. 1/

canada.ca/en/public-heal…
Although the vaccine technology is distinct, it seems prudent for similar verbal monitoring/reporting of those receiving the C19 vaccine, along with their close contacts. Let me show you why. 2/
There appears to be an association between vaccination number and case numbers. Remember, it is an association and but greater data granularity would be valuable. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Donald Welsh Profile picture
7 Apr
Let answers some questions in a simple binary manner.

1) Do people contract C19 and get ill? Yes
2) Is this a clinically important?
Yes
3) Is this unprecedented for a virus?
No
4) Is our health response appropriate?
No

1/
5) Does our health response work?
No
6) Should our health officials know the preceding?
Yes
7) Are health officials distorting the truth?
Yes

All verifiable if one looks dispassionately at the evidence. One can argue over details but that is immaterial.

2/
Its clear to me we are in the midst of a large sophisticated propaganda campaign. Health officials and politician are working together, hand in glove. Its just time to accept it.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Donald Welsh Profile picture
5 Apr
Its Monday again. Your friendly reminder, you are living through the largest social policy disaster in Canadian history. Thanks to your public health community.

Lets briefly consider one origin of this disaster, "Anecdote vs Data" ......1/
The C19 response has been fueled from the beginning by anecdotes. Its a standard behavioral psychology trick, personalize the threat to increase compliance. Understandable if the threat is serious, the current one isn't. The wreckage it leaves behind is substantial...2/
The issue is this. Anecdotes are designed to support a narrative, not to illuminate the truth. They can leave strong lasting impressions that are false. They accumulate over time and that in turn cripples policy action, akin to what we see now.....3/
Read 9 tweets

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