New for @HuffPost: How New York progressives raised taxes on the rich to up public school funding, provide emergency rental assistance, and give unemployment benefits to undocumented immigrants.

It took a decade to defy Cuomo's opposition to tax hikes: huffpost.com/entry/new-york…
This story is a sequel to my January piece looking at the comparatively conservative fiscal policy of blue states in contrast with their leaders' rhetoric.

At the time, Cuomo was holding the line against tax hikes: huffpost.com/entry/budget-c…
How much has Cuomo been forced to change his tune since first taking office in 2011?

Back then, he compared his insistence on letting a millionaire's tax expire, despite the tax's popularity, to his father's principled opposition to the death penalty: nytimes.com/2011/10/18/nyr…
The fact that the state is set to raise $4.5-billion in revenue from increases in corporate and millionaire income taxes is all the more remarkable because Schumer has said the state is on track to receive ~$24B in federal aid: gothamgazette.com/city/10229-new…
My opening anecdote tells the story of how when @NYSenatorRivera arrived in Albany in 2011, being an outspoken progressive was grounds for "getting Percoco'd" by Cuomo enforcer Joe Percoco.

Now Percoco is in prison and Rivera is enacting policies he could only dream of.
What's different in 2021?

Obviously, for one thing, Cuomo is distracted by scandal -- and may not want to risk a fight the legislature. (The Assembly can impeach him.)
But two elections -- 2018 and 2020 -- had already shifted the balance of power in NY.

Democrats retook the state Senate in '18 and got a veto-proof majority in '20.

Influx of @nywfp- and @nycDSA-backed progressives shifted character of majorities leftward too.
I spoke to @rebeccabailin, others about how the #InvestInOurNY campaign succeeded:
--Simple message ("tax the rich") and clear target (Cuomo) -- emphasizing relief from Cuomo austerity, rather than COVID-linked
--Weekly meetings with lawmaker champions (Norquist-style) ...
-- Combination of traditional activism -- press conference w/ @JamaalBowmanNY & @AOC; undocumented worker hunger strike; Capitol sleep-in -- and expert research capable of rebutting concerns about rich flight
Here's one of the thousands of door-hangers that @nycDSA used to pressure fence-sitting lawmakers:
Is the left the proverbial dog that caught the car?

Centrists like @bradleytusk suggest they now bear responsibility for outcomes of tax-and-spend experiment.

“I hope the new spending does more than just make the left feel good ..."
Left-wing lawmakers and activists say, "Not so fast."

Cuomo is still governor. And a long list of priorities like universal pre-K, help for the homeless and single payer awaits.

“We’re not done yet,” @JabariBrisport said. “This is bittersweet to me ..."

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More from @danielmarans

9 Apr
Yes, @EricLevitz, looking at the source material now, it was a debate over whether the Brooklyn Commons, a private venue, should host an anti-semite. Nathan makes all the maximalist free-speech arguments I still believe in ...
... The public square now consists largely of private spaces, so even if constitutional, encouraging professed open fora to pick and choose is harmful; who gives authority to censors; nothing to be feared from bad ideas; good speech defeats bad. currentaffairs.org/2016/09/let-th… ImageImageImage
Nathan's free to change his opinions. But there's a lack of self-awareness in going from lamenting his firing from The Guardian -- and mobilizing colleagues against it -- to poo-pooing Substack's openness ... without acknowledging the parallels to Brooklyn Commons. Image
Read 4 tweets
5 Apr
.@ninaturner has raised $2.2 million since announcing in mid-December, including $1.55 M since Jan. 1.

Cash on hand: Over $1 million

Average contribution is $28.
Turner's main opponent @ShontelMBrown announced a total $500k haul on March 24. In the final week of the month, Brown says her total since announcing her run grew to $680k.

But Brown is more keen to emphasize local proportion of donors, claiming 55% are from northeast Ohio.
Turner says she has 400 donors from Ohio. It's unclear what her total number of donors is. Her total contributions are nearly 78k.

Turner has also burned through more than $1M.

FWIW, Brown has held a *greater share* of her cash. Her campaign says she has over $500k on hand.
Read 4 tweets
5 Apr
New: Former Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) is running for a second term against three Black candidates.

I did a deep dive on his record as governor on questions of racial justice, civil rights, civil liberties and criminal justice reform: huffpost.com/entry/terry-mc…
News: @ACLUVA's @changeservant says that after McAuliffe vetoed a bill limiting mass surveillance, “He looked me in the eye and said, ‘Claire, you just need to know, I’m always going to side with the police.’”

McAuliffe denies it. (They're at odds over blame for C'ville in '17.)
The debate over McAuliffe versus @jcarrollfoy or @JennMcClellanVA is a fight over the future for Dems in Va.

Are Dem gains so tenuous they need a guy who's shown he can win? Or do they want to make history -- first Black woman Gov in the country -- with someone more progressive?
Read 18 tweets
5 Apr
Full write-up of Odessa Kelly's run with background on Rep. Jim Cooper here: huffpost.com/entry/odessa-k…
For all those noting that the Twitter handle is nonexistent, here's evidence that it used to be Kelly's.
Facts on Tennessee's 5th:
--Nashville and suburbs
--It went 60-37% for Biden
--Last primary challenge to Cooper got 40%
--Black pop. = 24% of district. Total Black, Latino, Asian = 37%.
--Cooper uncontested in '20 general, but primary challenger got 40%.
Read 9 tweets
23 Mar
Terrific @hollyotterbein piece on the still-raging Democratic debate over the political ramifications of "defund the police" (h/t @daveweigel): politico.com/news/2021/03/2…
Holly breaks news of some official studies of the impact of "defund":

-- @guycecil of @prioritiesUSA says their polling found it "neither hurt, nor helped."
-- An adviser to @CartwrightPA found that while GOP TV ads on "defund" didn't hurt Dems more than other ads, those Democrats who put out ads explicitly renouncing "defund" and affirming pro-cop bona fides performed 1.5 points better than Biden for every 1,000 ad points.
Read 8 tweets
22 Mar
Rep. Filemon Vela announces retirement ahead of GOP-run redistricting, via @allymutnick: politico.com/news/2021/03/2…
Vela's seat is in one of several South Texas districts where the Democratic share of the electorate shrank from 2016 to 2020. And Republicans are expected to screw over at least one of the 3 House Ds in border region along with Cuellar and Gonzalez:
Obviously there's the safe El Paso seat where Veronica Escobar, and technically that's along the southern border too. And before Will Hurd won his seat representing the vast swath of land between El Paso and Laredo, Dems often won there (Pete Gallego, Ciro Rodriguez) ...
Read 7 tweets

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