Ali H. Mokdad Profile picture
Apr 11, 2021 5 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Globally, reported #COVID19 cases decreased to 512,000 per day on average compared to 532,800 the week before while reported daily deaths increased to 12,200 per day on average compared to 11,100 the week before. Large surges are seen in Iran, Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh. 1/5 ImageImage
in Bangladesh, daily reported cases in the last week increased to 5,200 per day on average compared to 3,000 the week before. Daily deaths in the last week increased to 110 per day on average compared to 67 the week before. 2/5 ImageImage
In Pakistan, daily reported cases in the last week increased to about 4,700 per day on average compared to about 3,700 the week before. Daily deaths in the last week increased to about 84 per day on average compared to about 61 the week before. 3/5 ImageImage
In India, daily reported cases in the last week increased to 68,600 per day on average compared to 50,200 the week before. Daily deaths in the last week increased to 910 per day on average compared to 570 the week before. ImageImage
In Iran, daily reported cases in the last week increased to 10,000 per day on average compared to 7,500 the week before. Daily deaths in the last week increased to 110 per day on average compared to 85 the week before. 5/5 ImageImage

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Ali H. Mokdad

Ali H. Mokdad Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @AliHMokdad

Sep 14, 2022
Our new @IHME_UW #COVID19 projections are out. Estimated infections are declining and reported cases have remained roughly stable in the US overall. 1/
covid19.healthdata.org/global?view=cu…
Given the widespread use of rapid antigen tests, we estimate the infection-detection rate has declined to nearly 4%. With such a low infection-detection rate, the BA.5 surge that likely peaked in mid-July may have infected a substantial fraction of the population. 2/ Image
This surge, combined with vaccination, suggests that there is considerable immunity to Omicron in most US states. Waning immunity, combined with increased probability of transmission in the fall and winter, will lead to a surge in infections in the late fall and winter. 3/ Image
Read 15 tweets
Mar 22, 2022
@IHME_UW does not project a #COVID19 surge in the US in the coming weeks similar to what we have seen in parts of Europe. Our models suggest that after the end of March there should be a steady further decline in transmission. 1/ Image
Estimated infections, reported cases, hospital census, and daily deaths continue to decline. Despite a steady return to pre #COVID19 behaviors, transmission continues to decline. 2/ Image
Data reporting in some states is becoming less frequent, and we are detecting more and more anomalies in some states’ data as attention may be turning elsewhere. 3/
covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-…
Read 10 tweets
Jan 16, 2022
The #Omicron surge is creating unprecedented levels of transmission: the daily infections are estimated to have reached 125 million, ten times the #Delta wave peak in April 2021. @IHME_UW 1/
covid19.healthdata.org/global?view=cu…
The massive surge in infections, however, is not leading to a 10x increase in deaths because #Omicron is 90-99% less severe. Lower severity is due to three factors: 1) the fraction of people with asymptomatic infection is up from 40% to 80-90%; 2/
2) among those who have symptomatic infections, the hospitalization rate is down 40-60%; and 3) among those hospitalized, the fraction requiring intubation and/or dying is down 80-90%. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Jan 14, 2022
#Omicron is likely to have spread to nearly all countries by now. The larger fraction asymptomatic means that the massive surge in infections will lead to a smaller but sill unprecedented increase in reported cases. 1/
Hospitalizations will increase, and in some countries this increase will lead to higher levels of hospitalization than in previous surges, including the Delta wave and the Northern Hemisphere winter surge last year. 2/
Extremely high rates above 10% PCR positive of pre-admission screening in hospitals of individuals without #COVID19 symptoms in various parts of the US confirm the intense transmission in the community. 3/
Read 13 tweets
Jan 9, 2022
@IHME_UW new projections show that daily estimated #COVID19 infections has peaked at 6.2 million on 1/6 in the US, but daily cases will rise to nearly 1.2 million by 1/19, 2022. The infection-detection rate has declined to 22% on January 3. 1/
covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-…
Our model projects 905,000 cumulative reported deaths due to #COVID19 on 5/1, this represents 79,000 additional deaths from 1/3 to 5/1. Daily reported deaths will rise to 1,930 by 1/24, 2022. 2/
Daily hospital census including incidental admissions with #COVID19 will rise to 273,000 by January 25, 2022. We estimate that 57% of people in United States of America have been infected at least once as of January 3. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jan 7, 2022
No amount of media training can fix bad messaging, @CDCDirector. The root of this problem, the problem of back and forth messaging coming out of the @CDC_gov, cannot be fixed by one individual working on their personal communication skills. 1/
cnn.com/2022/01/07/pol…
It worries me that @CDCDirector told @CNN: "We actually don't know how our rapid tests perform and how well they predict whether you're transmissible during the end of disease." We need to know how well rapid tests perform at this point in the pandemic. 2/
Is it 5 days or 10 days of isolation after you test positive for #COVID19? Americans shouldn't be making their best guess because of waffling guidance. end/
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(