Bizarre turn in 🇸🇮 🇧🇦 relations. During recent meeting btw SLO President & BiH Presidency, Pahor explicitly asked the Bosnians whether a “peaceful separation” of the country was possible. Komsic & Dzaferovic said of course not, secessionist Dodik said yes. klix.ba/clanak/2104120…
Now, SLO Amb to Sarajevo has been summoned by Komsic over reports that PM Jansa, the EU’s newest illiberal demagogue, sent a non-paper to Brussels speculating about BiH’s dissolution. klix.ba/clanak/2104120…
Jansa denies these reports but it’s worth noting that he is close to Orban who is close to Dodik, and Dodik & his backers in Moscow & Belgrade are obviously is the primary threat to BiH’s territorial integrity. Disturbing games all the same.
Worth noting this the latest episode in which EU & member states have shown a complete disregard for actual security threats in BiH; see Croatia, above all, but also Hungary, France, Qs over Germany’s intentions. Enlargement obviously over but BiH sovereignty being toyed w too.

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More from @JasminMuj

13 Apr
As part of their ongoing revisionist campaign re: the Bosnian War & Genocide, the secessionist regime in BiH's RS entity recently convened two "international commissions" to rewrite the established facts of the Srebrenica Genocide and the Siege of Sarajevo. 🧵
These two specific events were chosen bc they are the most internationally well known features of the Bosnian War & Genocide & the Dodik regime wants to recast their understanding in the global discourse to justify its ongoing political ambitions; namely, secession from BiH.
Their report on the Siege of Sarajevo, which specifically deals with the treatment of ethnic Serbs by BiH govt forces during the siege, was released today. It is rife w/ half-truths, spin, selective sourcing, fabrications, and conspiracism. No surprise. Image
Read 13 tweets
12 Apr
I’m disturbed that Dodik’s long-time claims re: the possibility of “peaceful separation” in BiH have clearly found an audience in some EU quarters. An absolutely insane idea; as in 1992-95, vast majority of Bosnians will not abide attempts to partition or dissolve the country. 🧵
If anything, those attitudes have hardened after the Bosnian Genocide bc the Bosniak (and broader Bosnian) communities now explicitly tie their biological survival to the survival of the BiH state. I’ve called this the Zionist turn in Bosniak-Bosnian political thinking.
The depth of these attitudes is not even wholly captured by the SDA; there is a still harder electorate to their proverbial right. And they’re not “Islamists” as many fear but actually secular nationalists deeply repulsed by the party’s corruption & incompetence.
Read 4 tweets
10 Mar
I want to make clear a few things re: today’s events in BiH’s RS assembly & their formal adoption of what is clearly a program for secession; why it matters, and what may be done about it by local & international actors. 🧵 klix.ba/clanak/2103101…
As I noted y’day, while this formally appears like a (baseless) critique of the OHR, it’s fundamentally an attack on the Dayton Peace Accords and the Bosnian state. The call for “peaceful separation” makes clear the actual aim: RS secession & the dissolution of BiH.
That isn’t new. Dodik has made his intentions clear for yrs; he is explicit in his secessionism. And as I’ve explained before, he’s only grown more brazen bc no one has stood up to him. EU bears particular responsibility here but no one’s hands are clean. balkaninsight.com/2020/03/02/bos…
Read 10 tweets
9 Mar
Secessionist authorities in Bosnia's RS entity - working in tandem w/ the Kremlin - have called for a special session of the RS assembly where they will call for the closure of the OHR & apparently reject every post-1998 change to BiH's political system. vijesti.ba/clanak/527976/…
This is another attempt at dismantling BiH's constitutional regime & undermining the rule of law; secession-lite, using the entire RS govt apparatus to accomplish it. And Germany's self-serving stunt w/ Christian Schmidt is leaving local & international authorities flat-footed.
It's bad enough that Schmidt is widely understood to be an absolute bottom-of-the-barrel pick. But Berlin's unilateral push for his appt has shattered what little coordination existed among international actors in BiH. And now, of course Russia has capitalized on that.
Read 7 tweets
5 Jan
The state of the discourse. Image
In the 2018 general elections, HDZ won 9.05% of the vote across BiH. They ended up with 3/10 portfolios in the Council of Ministers, or 30%. The then SNSD coalition won 16.03% of the vote, took 4/10 on CoM or 40%. SDA & DF won 22.82% & together only took 3 portfolios.
Or how about the FBiH, where the HDZ won 14.71% but ended up with 6 of 17 portfolios in the government, or 35%. The SDA which won 25.48% of the vote received only 5 portfolios - 29% - & now technically only has 4 bc Campara left the party.
Read 4 tweets
23 Nov 20
I want to offer a theory for why 73 million Americans voted for Trump despite his evident deficiencies as a president and, truly, as a human being. To my mind, it’s a pretty basic manifestation of nationalist myth making, albeit accelerated by modern social media. 🧵
All nationalisms are rooted in myth; artificially constructed narratives about the roots of “our” unity, and apartness from “the others”. That’s why we have flags and anthems: they are memetic forms of identity construction.
Now, most nationalist myths are still partially rooted in material reality or lived practice: territory, language, cultural norms, religion etc. But the trick is in weaving a coherent narrative that includes some and not other peoples and practices in a given region.
Read 12 tweets

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