I tend not to post on COVID - I’ve no special knowledge in this area.
But it strikes me a likely outcome is vaccines will be successful in national terms but new variants spreading internationally.
So we could find normality returning locally...but international travel limited.
But it strikes me a likely outcome is vaccines will be successful in national terms but new variants spreading internationally.
So we could find normality returning locally...but international travel limited.
2/
If this is right - & it’s just speculation - we may find that countries will, to avoid locking themselves down, attempt to form stronger regional groups with common strict import/personal controls.
This would accelerate regional groupings along (sub)continental lines.
If this is right - & it’s just speculation - we may find that countries will, to avoid locking themselves down, attempt to form stronger regional groups with common strict import/personal controls.
This would accelerate regional groupings along (sub)continental lines.
3/
These regional groups would have to impose strict migration/travel controls on those entering. Perhaps testing or even vaccinations for new variants.
But the area would have to be as tight as national controls.
These regional groups would have to impose strict migration/travel controls on those entering. Perhaps testing or even vaccinations for new variants.
But the area would have to be as tight as national controls.
4/
A country will thus seek to demonstrate its attractiveness to potential partners by impressing upon them the completeness of its vaccination program AND its commitment to shared & strong border bubble.
A country will thus seek to demonstrate its attractiveness to potential partners by impressing upon them the completeness of its vaccination program AND its commitment to shared & strong border bubble.
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