In 12/2020, OrphAnalytics -- a Swiss firm that produces text-analysis software -- took a crack at the QAnon corpus.
Recently, I tried to find the study but couldn't access it on their site, & speculated that maybe they found an error & quietly removed it.
Nope! It's back up.
Apologies to OrphAnalytics (not that they, uh, have any idea that I SAID it -- buuuuut I did publicly suggest they screwed up, and it turns out they DIDN'T, so I owe them an apology!
The paper is here & is very much worth a read, esp the graph on page 8.
A Yahoo news article that came out when the study was first published contains a slightly different version of the graph (the paper was revised about a week after publication).
I like this for visual clarity; it supports the 1/5/18 coup hypothesis, with different Q's pre & post.
P.S. @kunstderfuge1 has what he calls a "ridiculously amateur thread about how the stylometry stuff works," but he knows much more than *I* do, by gum. So read on if you're curious!
During the weeks after the election, QAnon believers kept claiming that EO 13848 would let Trump overturn the election by saying that foreign countries had interfered.
It confers no such power on the President, obviously. It's far more limited in scope.
But it DOES allow sanctions to be levied against foreign agents and bodies who interfere in presidential elections,
saaaaaaaaaay by receiving internal material from the Trump campaign *by way of the campaign director himself* and running to provide it to Russian intelligence. 😃
Longer version of @nickmartin's excellent tweets: the Arizona Senate's "election audit" is being run by right-wing conspiracists, for right-wing conspiracists, and is being funded by Trump supporters.
The "cyber ninjas" running it promote the Big Lie.
The purpose of this exercise is, of course, to *claim* they have discovered fraud -- big, earthshaking fraud! -- and undoubtedly, that's the result that the "auditors" and their leaders (a Big Lie conspiracy theorist & a notorious birther) will fart out.
What will happen *after* that?
Fox News will cover it wall to wall, of course.
"Respectable" conservative outlets (which are now... I mean, the National Review and what else? The Wall Street Journal, I suppose, but that's it) will act like it's Very Serious & Definitel Real™.
HLI is one of the most *interesting* LARPers because his narrative was all over the place (for instance, he had an elaborate mythology about the life of the historical Jesus AND weighed in on the invention of calculus with: "Newton was a fraud put forth by British intelligence").
Heck, he wasn't even ardently pro-Trump, despite flourishing during the 2016 campaign and lasting into the early months of the Trump administration.
You would expect, therefore, that /pol/ would brush him off. But no! Those 2,067 posts come from question-and-answer sessions.
I *greatly* enjoyed giving this presentation -- thank you to @jamesfitz2 for inviting me, and thanks for the kind words. :)
A summary is below, but the TL;DR is that QAnon has made "let's kill all the elites & everything will get better" a more popular idea worldwide.
That will *probably* be one of its most lasting impacts on world history -- it's going to be *enormously* destabilizing for American politics going forward, but even in other democracies, QAnon's pairing of:
* a violent cleansing &
* a utopian future
... is gonna have legs.
I'm not saying that belief *in QAnon specifically* is going to increase worldwide. I expect the opposite.
Rather, I'm saying that the *next* successful conspiracy theory is going to draw on the ideological underpinnings of QAnon, and will borrow its apocalyptic/millenarian tone
An interesting but little-remarked-upon feature of @CullenHoback's documentary is that it *very carefully does not claim* that Ron Watkins wrote every single drop after the 1/5/18 coup, & with good reason: he didn't.
Ron was EXTREMELY online. We can compare his activity to Q's.
"That's weird," alert readers are saying, "why is the 2nd graph labeled 'Q Replies within 15 minutes?'"
Because I wanna answer a common objection: you can schedule posts in advance on 8chan/8kun.
It's true! You can. But scheduling REPLIES to anons hours in advance? Not feasible
So we're using "Q replies within 15 minutes" to let us examine the times that someone was almost certainly sitting behind the keyboard posting as Q -- because this is the subset of Q drops where Q is engaged in a thread, responding to other anons' posts soon after they're made.
MEGATHREAD: DROPS 34-44 -- PART I: Q SETS THE STAGE FOR THE GREAT DISAPPOINTMENT
This is part I of a megathread on Q drops 34-44; it cpvers drops 34-35, which form a single message, & anons' response.
Parts II & beyond will be MUCH shorter, but these drops are key to Q's myth.
But first: a bit of context.
This takes place in the first Calm Before the Storm thread, which itself is a continuation of an earlier thread (linked) that called Q “Info Dump Anon” and “LARPer Guy” (but, y’know, in a friendly way).
Given the way Q was referred to in that last thread, you can see *why* they’d make sure that their debut in THIS one featured much, much stronger branding.
Hence the first words of their first post: “Q Clearance Patriot.”