What's causing the blood clots? FDA's Peter Marks says this is just a theory, but that it could be an immune response that occurs very rarely after vaccination, causing activation of blood platelets.
Presser available live here:

Woodcock says FDA/CDC have done an extensive review of the reported events and looked at the background rate of these clots.

Marks says these types of clots have a background rate of 2-14 per million people. BUT says there's a pattern of events similar to Europe events.
Marks: "We have to take the time to make sure we understand this complication."
FDA's Marks says one reason they're raising this is because the standard treatment for blood clots -- heparin -- can actually make THIS type of clot worse. So you need to pause + get the word out. Worst case would be people harmed b/c of erroneous treatment.
Keep in mind that w/ the mRNA shots, we saw cases of anaphylaxis. That's one reason why there's 15 mins of post-injection monitoring, and health workers are on the look out for those reactions.

Nothing's free from risk, it's how you manage it.
FDA's Peter Marks: "I hesitate to cause it a class effect."

BUT

"What we're seeing with the Janssen vaccines looks very similar to what we were seeing with the AstraZeneca vaccines."

Slightly different vectors, but they are "in the same general class."
More Marks: Says pay attention to J&J statement today on "voluntary action" with regard to pausing its two-dose trial.

Sure sounds like they'll be putting that on hold...
Marks: Says the side effects have been seen in a median of nine days after vaccination, in a window of 1-3 weeks.

This is different than the immediate post-vaccine side effects, which are headache + flu-like symptoms.

But there are gonna be a lot of calls to doctors...
Marks: Says what to really look for is people showing up at an ER with a "very severe headache", shortness of breath and pain in legs or abdomen, that's a sign to ask about vaccine history and check platelets.
Briefing over. That was a clear and useful discussion from FDA about the risks. Next up -- what J&J has to say, and tomorrow's adcomm + any FDA action.

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More from @ArmstrongDrew

13 Apr
👀The FDA and CDC are calling for a pause in the use of J&J’s vaccine after a series of blood clots in six women.

Statement:
So far, about 6.86 million doses of J&J’s vaccine have been used in the U.S., so that’s a known rate of less than 1 in 1,000,000.
Many of the J&J doses have also been targeted, by the feds, at harder to reach populations. If there are vaccine-hesitant among those, this news may not help.
Read 11 tweets
30 Mar
We are now tracking U.S. vaccine availability by week, and comparing it with manufacturer projections:

Full graphic here: bloomberg.com/graphics/covid…
We know there's been a lot of interest -- especially recently! -- in "how many shots are out there." Now you can see that, and see what's coming:
☝️This dataset is from the weekly CDC allocations, dated to the time of announcement (our best judgment on when doses are made "available" or "delivered" to the federal gov.). We've also recreated a history of non-CDC-allocated doses, which get announced by the WH.
Read 7 tweets
27 Mar
💉VACCINE DATA UPDATE (March 27)💉

📊3.5M doses today; 7-day avg=2.68M/day
🇺🇸US: 140M doses total

☝️Looking like another U.S. inflection point may be brewing, with the 7-day tilting up two tenths after being stuck at 2.5M

Full data/graphic: bloomberg.com/graphics/covid…
This is a one-day record -- the second in a row. (The 4.5M day a big ago is an artifact of CDC's data reporting, which we'll correct if we can but.... it's a bit complicated.)
We're seeing surges in vaccines being shipped, lots more places to administer them, and an expansion of eligibility. No surprise the numbers are going up, here.
Read 4 tweets
26 Mar
💉VACCINE DATA UPDATE (March 26)💉

⭐️A record day of vaccinations reported in the U.S., which pushes up our U.S. 7-day average to 2.62M/day.

📊3.4M doses today; 7-day avg=2.62M/day
🇺🇸US: 137M doses total

Full graphic/data: bloomberg.com/graphics/covid… Image
🧵2/ If past trends hold, we could be in for some very big numbers this weekend. (Saturdays and Sundays have been among our biggest days, typically.)
3/ There may also be some catch-up action going on here, so treat this number with a grain of salt. We know there were some states (texas) with some reporting delays earlier this week.

This is one frustration of having to rely entirely on CDC data after their methodology switch.
Read 4 tweets
14 Mar
Here's why the U.S. reported an absolutely massive 4.6M doses on Saturday (more than 50% higher than any prior report).

The boring answer: It's a one-time methodological bump from a later-than-usual CDC data pull that sucked in more data than usual.

bloomberg.com/news/live-blog…
This means (assuming CDC reverts back to it's normal data pull time) that Sunday's number will probably be smaller than it would be otherwise.

Here's my earlier thread taking some guesses at what's going on.

Our methodology blog post also has (from CDC) what the number today *would* have been with a normal pull time. You can find it here (it's still a lot):

bloomberg.com/news/live-blog…
Read 5 tweets
13 Mar
💉VACCINE DATA UPDATE (March 13)💉

🚨Record day of reported vaccinations, with 4.6M. 50% higher than past 2.9M record. Looking into why (data dump/lag, +capacity, etc.)

📊4.6M doses today; 7-day avg=2.54M/day
🇺🇸US: 106M doses total

Full graphic/data: bloomberg.com/graphics/covid…
⚠️This is a huge number that's 50% bigger than we've ever seen. it's possible there's some sort of data/methodological reason for this. We are investigating and will post a blog/more tweets if we find out something more.

In the meantime, <sportscenter voice> THAT'S A BIG ONE
There are some states here that are all having record days: Take a look at Cali, NY, Mississippi, North Carolina:
Read 9 tweets

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