A 40m Tue vaccine update:
261k total doses today, around 150% higher than the last day of the Easter BH data.
With all the BH now out of the 7D total, it's just tipped back over 3m, consistent with govt messaging for April supply.
2nd doses and vaxing the 40s next.
1/4
261k total doses today, around 150% higher than the last day of the Easter BH data.
With all the BH now out of the 7D total, it's just tipped back over 3m, consistent with govt messaging for April supply.
2nd doses and vaxing the 40s next.
1/4
Just on 200k 2nd doses today, so another new high for the 7D total of 2.4m. Over the last week the split has been around 80/20 in favour of second doses.
We remain 3 days ahead of my 11 week target line, so are still keeping to the required pace.
2/4
We remain 3 days ahead of my 11 week target line, so are still keeping to the required pace.
2/4
With bookings opened for the 45-49 cohort, how long will these take to jab? There are around 4.4m in total (UK), but we know around 27% of the 16-49 group have already been jabbed (Eng). That's likely to take the number down to no more than 3m, maybe even less.
3/4
3/4
At around 0.7m a week, that'll take around a month at the recent pace of 1st doses. It may be that supply picks up in May which would help of course, but we've got at least another 3 weeks of heavy 2nd doses before a slight easing of those could benefit 1st dose progress.
4/4
4/4
HT to @TomRugbyFan for pointing out that PHE's age analysis is more detailed than NHS' weekly report I used, and shows a higher prop'n already vaccinated over 40 than the average below 50, as might be expected.
That's likely to reduce it from 4 wks to 3.
That's likely to reduce it from 4 wks to 3.
https://twitter.com/TomRugbyFan/status/1381996577586356231
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