India, despite success earlier with reducing cases, is now seeing by far the highest levels of transmission from the entire pandemic. New cases reached 199,569 today.
Figures are from yesterday.
Note: No magic stops the pandemic.
1/
Brazil with the P.1 variant out of control continues to at or near all-time highs of Covid deaths.
2/
Argentina has all-time high infections, though death rates are not (yet) at record highs. For such rapid increases in cases, the associated deaths will not occur for a few weeks.
3/
Uruguay, which had been successful in keeping numbers of cases low relative to other American countries, has unfortunately seen a recent surge --- all-time high of both cases and deaths.
4/
Recent outbreaks in South America indicate what happens when a more infectious and deadly variant is allowed to take hold. If the rest of the world does not act rapidly, the same may happen elsewhere. Still unclear how much vaccines will help.
5/
Note: Incorrect Washington Post speculation about reason for earlier reduction of cases. Clearly incorrect given new surge. washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pac…
"Indian authorities said Covid variants, including the double mutation strain, have not been detected in such large numbers that are sufficient to explain the spike in new infections."
With the growing power of mass vaccination to reduce transmission, but with vaccine hesitancy and the threat of vaccine evading variants, we should consider mix and match elimination strategies:
1/
What strategies might work combining mass vaccination, mass testing, mass high quality masking, and stay at home restrictions, to achieve local elimination?
2/
Green zones continue to be the way to open up without restrictions, avoiding outbreaks of breakthrough variants. What level of border control or travel restrictions are needed depends on other ongoing precautions and vigilance.
3/
"Geographically differentiated: There is now a significant difference between the municipalities in the spread of the epidemic. Most municipalities have no or only a few cases,...
1/
"some municipalities have ongoing outbreaks while some municipalities in central Eastern Norway have a persistently high incidence (which can be tens of times higher than most of the country otherwise).
2/
New cases surged passed 100,000 a day -- over 103,790 new cases on Sunday -- more than the previous peak to be the highest number of daily cases recorded since the pandemic began.
"The extraordinary rise of the cases in the last few days has alarmed the government and scientific community, prompting Prime Minister Narendra Modi to hold a high level meeting of all concerned ministries and officers of the COVID-19 task force.
2/
"In a tweet, the prime minister said he "reiterated the importance of the five fold strategy of testing, tracing, treatment, COVID-appropriate behaviour, and vaccination as an effective way to fight the global pandemic".
3/