1. What led to US's statement that Manafort's associate passed internal 2016 campaign data to Russian intel services?

U.S. officials tell NBC News that "U.S. intelligence community has developed new information."

2. Of note: Manafort's pardon is limited.
justsecurity.org/74241/the-gaps…
3. @AWeissmann_ wrote:

The pardon "rewarded Manafort for keeping his lips sealed and lying to the Special Counsel .... Reimposing appropriate punishment...is thus not only fair in a system wedded to the rule of law, but may increase the chance of finally learning the truth."
4. Reminder of Senator @RonWyden's appendix to Senate Intelligence Committee Report, Aug 2020.

On redactions of intelligence information indicating Manafort-Kilimnik's involvement in Russian hack and leak operation.

intelligence.senate.gov/sites/default/…
5/5. Here's the NBC News report (from @Tom_Winter
and @albamonica):

nbcnews.com/politics/natio…

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More from @rgoodlaw

10 Apr
Why were entries in this Dept of Defense timeline not included in the DoD timeline presented to public and to Congress?

#CapitolRiots

"previously undisclosed document prepared by the Pentagon for internal use"

(@LisaMascaro @benfoxatap @lbaldor report)
apnews.com/article/capito…
2.

"By 3:37 p.m., the Pentagon sent its own security forces to guard the homes of defense leaders. No troops had yet reached the Capitol."
3.

At 4:08 p.m. Pence places urgent phone call to acting SecDef Miller, demanding answers.

Associated Press: “Pence said the Capitol was not secure and he asked military leaders for a deadline for securing the building.”

“'Clear the Capitol,'” Pence said.
Read 6 tweets
26 Mar
Does First Amendment stop USG from joining efforts like #ChristchurchCall to eliminate terrorist content online?

Dozens of leading democracies and #BigTech have joined.

Trump stayed out.

@mikehposner and I explain why "First Amendment" claim is flawed.

justsecurity.org/75514/terroris…
2. Worth recalling the response of leading human rights voices when Trump administration refrained from joining Christchurch Call to Action.

Such as @Malinowski👇

3. Here's @cwarzel's (Charlie Warzel) thoughtful analysis from 2019.

nytimes.com/2019/05/16/opi…
Read 6 tweets
16 Feb
<thread> on the true significance of Senate impeachment vote.

57-43 was an extraordinary bipartisan vote to convict.

But the Republican support for House Managers case was even stronger.

We looked at statements of those 43 Republican Senators.
justsecurity.org/74725/in-their…
2. Other analysts (eg @danielsgoldman) have noted those 43 Republican Senators include several essentially saying they would convict but for the issue of jurisdiction over a former official.

The strongest on this include: McConnell, Portman, Thune. But others too.
3. Many of 43 GOP Senators didn't reach the merits. They rested purely on jurisdiction.

As we write: "It is technically inaccurate to call many of these 43 senators’ decisions a vote to 'acquit,' at least not on the question of guilt or innocence."

(h/t @AdHaque110)
Read 7 tweets
17 Jan
House impeachment managers should enter this Wall Street Journal report into the record.

“The Journal’s review, which included now-deleted posts that have been archived ... suggests the Proud Boys viewed Mr. Trump’s messages as a call to action.”

wsj.com/articles/proud…
2. Plus this:

“The messages show the group repeatedly invoking President Trump’s rhetoric in the weeks leading to the Jan. 6 protest as they built momentum toward what became a violent showdown.”

On Jan. 3, the group’s leader shared a cryptic post: “What if we invade it?”
3.

December 19: ,Trump tweets about the Jan. 6 rally and says, “be there, will be wild!”

Proud Boys’ Long Island chapter posted that Trump supporters have been “waiting for the green light from the President.”

“Everyone who said ‘Mr. President, just say when?’ He just did.”
Read 5 tweets
16 Jan
My greatest concerns next few days:

1) state capitals

2) insider threats from extremists/white supremacists within National Guard, Secret Service, etc.

3) Trump chaos*

* Note however: Tata leaving this past week (@laraseligman); Michael Ellis apparently never made it to NSA
2. On Tata (via Politico’s @laraseligman from Thursday):

“Anthony Tata ... will step down this week, ahead of President-elect Joe Biden’s inauguration, according to three Defense officials.”

politico.com/news/2021/01/1…
3. Update on Michael Ellis

1:49PM Saturday, I tweeted that Ellis had (surprisingly) not made it to the NSA.

6:40PM Scoop by @nakashimae: Acting SecDef Miller orders NSA to install Ellis on Saturday.

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
Read 7 tweets
14 Jan
#WhereIsWray

"The presence of so many watch-listed individuals in one place — without more robust security measures ... — is another example of the intelligence failures preceding last week’s fatal assault that sent lawmakers running for their lives."

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
2. #WhereIsWray

@AshaRangappa_: "Perhaps the most notable part of the update was who wasn't giving it. The top officials from Justice and the FBI -- Acting Attorney General Jeffrey Rosen and Director Christopher Wray -- weren't there."

cnn.com/2021/01/13/opi…
3. #WhereIsWray

FBI "didn't produce a bulletin" for Jan. 6 saying "doing so might run afoul of First Amendment free speech protections"

"But...this didn't stop...FBI from issuing intelligence bulletins ahead of mostly peaceful demonstrations" for BLM.

npr.org/2021/01/13/956…
Read 5 tweets

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