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19 Apr, 7 tweets, 3 min read
MSCI May 2021 SAIR: a lot of changes expected. Watch out for the Adani Group (India), Kbank (Thailand) and names likely to make it to FYSE AW in June.
Stocks with maximum impact from passive buying...
Stocks with maximum impact from passive selling...
New listings that didn’t make the cut for Fast Entry Inclusion and could now be included
And other trades including $SE, switch from $BABA to $9988.HK and possible halving in $KBANK.TB
You can follow Index Rebalance Research on @smartkarma: Index Rebalance
smartkarma.com/collections/in… => sign up for free to access unlimited Research Summaries and more.
@threadreaderapp unroll this thread on MSCI May SAIR Index Rebalance please

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More from @smartkarma

Smartkarma Profile picture
17 Apr
“Double Dip” - a scenario to consider seriously. Events of this week have unfolded to everyone’s surprise... very negatively.
1/ India new epicenter - cases gone wild (25x higher versus Feb levels). Mutations present accelerated / aggressive disease presentation. India not on travel red lists of most major countries (yet/despite) ImageImage
2/ Malaysia reports 40 cases in healthcare workers who already had double dose of vaccine channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/covi…
Read 6 tweets
Smartkarma Profile picture
15 Apr
GRAB / ALTIMETER $AGC
The positives are well known and enormous respect to Anthony and Hooi Ling for creating an ASEAN behemoth. Nevertheless, here's some of the less obvious, but key points to note on this $40b deal. (1/n)
1. Control: Anthony Tan will continue to control the company with 60.4% of the voting rights, despite owning just 1.1@ of ordinary shares. sec.report/Document/00011… pg 48
Disclosure (thus far): The company hasn't released all the financial details, instead it has put up a dressy deck with 2021-23 projections. So not that much to chew on. Still...
Read 12 tweets
Smartkarma Profile picture
14 Apr
A new article from Bloomberg with input from two different analysts who publish on Smartkarma (Mio Kato and @travislundyasia).

Both have also separately published updates today.
Travis has added...

smartkarma.com/insights/toshi…
And Mio wrote...

smartkarma.com/insights/toshi…
Read 4 tweets
Smartkarma Profile picture
13 Apr
💡 IDEAL $KBANK.TB - consensus Thai O/W, seen as a digital aspirant. However, Brian spots two flies in the ointment. Stock has doubled from 2020 lows, so this is worth noting.
(1/n)
1. foreign line highly likely deletion from MSCI at upcoming MAY SAR - Deletion of the foreign line would require passive funds to sell 87m shares...
2. There is also a possibility of a reduction in the Foreign Inclusion Factor (FIF) on the Non Voting Depository Receipt (NVDR) line if the foreign room stays below 15% on the price cutoff date. This would necessitate selling of around 22m shares.
Read 6 tweets
Smartkarma Profile picture
12 Apr
BABA: opens +9% and continuing to trade VERY strong in HK today. Market realising pendulum swung too far, and starting to fade the risk premia here. (Chart: BABA vs TENCENT intraday)
Putting things into perspective: since November, Media frenzy and Investor panic wiped $260bn in value.
Meanwhile, 4Q was historic high Q-rev growth +37% Y/Y, historic high core commerce EBITDA, and historic high quarterly op profit. Clodu turned profitable, and Cainiao positive OCF also.
Read 6 tweets
Smartkarma Profile picture
11 Apr
Thai IPO raising $750m: Ngern Tid Lor (NTL) jointly owned by CVC and Bank of Ayudhya (BAY TB) with 16pc market share.
Impressive track record: 2016-20, gross l25.1% CAGR, total income 22.5% CAGR, while PAT did better with a CAGR of 29.1% over 2016-20.
Gets better: 2010-20, its total income has increased by 12.6x, branch network by 6x and receivables by 18x. That implies a CAGR of 28.9% for total income, 19.6% for branches and 33.5% for receivables.
Read 6 tweets

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