I want to talk about big holes in our border controls in more detail in the light of these instances from other countries showing how high is the risk is of imported cases from 🇮🇳 being spread onwards.
All these passengers had pre flight negative tests.
All these passengers had pre flight negative tests.
https://twitter.com/fascinatorfun/status/1383910462878744578
1/. In the U.K. a Lateral Flow Test is enough as a pre flight test.
2/. It can be done 3 days before departure. That is a long time when prevalence is high as it is in India. Nearly 30% positivity in Delhi yesterday.
How many slip through that net.
gov.uk/guidance/coron…
2/. It can be done 3 days before departure. That is a long time when prevalence is high as it is in India. Nearly 30% positivity in Delhi yesterday.
How many slip through that net.
gov.uk/guidance/coron…
That was up from 20.22% just three days before on the 15th April.
Even that is scarily high.
No wonder so many are arriving in other airports (eg Toronto/ Vancouver/ Hong Kong) and testing positive after arrival.
3/ At lease they require arrival airport tests. We don’t
Even that is scarily high.
No wonder so many are arriving in other airports (eg Toronto/ Vancouver/ Hong Kong) and testing positive after arrival.
3/ At lease they require arrival airport tests. We don’t
4/ LOTS a of people have exemptions from pre flight / pre travel testing.
LOTS & LOTS & LOTSs.
There we see the myth that children under 11 aren’t a transmitting risk. Good luck with that on an aeroplane.
Travelling for urgent medical treatment or the companion of one
LOTS & LOTS & LOTSs.
There we see the myth that children under 11 aren’t a transmitting risk. Good luck with that on an aeroplane.
Travelling for urgent medical treatment or the companion of one
Have a look at row 15 on the Delhi-Hong Kong flight that was linked to 47 +ve cases.
NB. Some only testing positive on day 12 of quarantine in a quarantine hotel. Let that day sink in. Day 12.
How many in those row 15 multi occupied seats were children? Babies? Row 17 too
NB. Some only testing positive on day 12 of quarantine in a quarantine hotel. Let that day sink in. Day 12.
How many in those row 15 multi occupied seats were children? Babies? Row 17 too
Why is Myanmar exempt? Anyone know?
Who else is exempt?
Border and customs officials & channel tunnel workers.
Hauliers.
Air, maritime and rail crew
So the crew from the Hong Kong flight or any of those Delhi-Toronto etc flights would be able to fly off in another plane full
Who else is exempt?
Border and customs officials & channel tunnel workers.
Hauliers.
Air, maritime and rail crew
So the crew from the Hong Kong flight or any of those Delhi-Toronto etc flights would be able to fly off in another plane full
Civil aviation inspectors
People transporting human cells/ blood products
Seamen & master & inspectors and surveyors of ships
Defence personnel, visiting forces and Gov contractors
Foreign Gov Officials (members of the Indian Gov have gone down with Covid)
U.K. Gov officials
People transporting human cells/ blood products
Seamen & master & inspectors and surveyors of ships
Defence personnel, visiting forces and Gov contractors
Foreign Gov Officials (members of the Indian Gov have gone down with Covid)
U.K. Gov officials
5/ So you currently fly in from Delhi. (NOT a on #RedList) and you can shorten your 10 day quarantine (remember the 12 day cases in Hong Kong quarantine hotels);
Don’t worry about quarantining for 10 days
5 will do if you get a negative PCR test!
Anyone sequencing those tests?
Don’t worry about quarantining for 10 days
5 will do if you get a negative PCR test!
Anyone sequencing those tests?
Sure. You still have to take a test on day 8, but, by then the cat is out of the bag. You can be out and about.
And, God knows, those pesky post arrival tests can take an awful long time to get results.
And, God knows, those pesky post arrival tests can take an awful long time to get results.
Never mind. Even if you are on the red list T& T tell you you can end quarantine after 10 days anyway! Yeah! (Remember those 12 day positives in Hong Kong?)
Here’s a few stories feom people using the quarantine test system.
Here’s a few stories feom people using the quarantine test system.
https://twitter.com/fascinatorfun/status/1379373683010121731
Who is quality assuring these labs?
What sequencing is done?
Here’s another
Look at the number of complaints
bbc.com/news/business-…
What sequencing is done?
Here’s another
Look at the number of complaints
bbc.com/news/business-…
And another.
I also know that even red list quarantine checks are pretty sloppy, with people out and about who, soon after, tested positive for the S African variant. At least that was sequenced through the usual Test and Trace route.
I also know that even red list quarantine checks are pretty sloppy, with people out and about who, soon after, tested positive for the S African variant. At least that was sequenced through the usual Test and Trace route.
https://twitter.com/jenkinshelen/status/1381551021609123845
Then there are those who have been lost to tracing.
Where did they come from and when?
A detailed break down would be good given the 🇮🇳 variant has been thriving during this period
Not to mention the SA variant eg in Bangladesh.
Where did they come from and when?
A detailed break down would be good given the 🇮🇳 variant has been thriving during this period
Not to mention the SA variant eg in Bangladesh.
https://twitter.com/fascinatorfun/status/1380935230316494849
Just in India alone there’s been a good spread of variants including VoC and VUI for the relevant period.
It’s just that the 🇮🇳 B1.617 has rather taken over in the areas with the highest positivity rates, no doubt driven by loose restrictions and huge crowds, even if outside
It’s just that the 🇮🇳 B1.617 has rather taken over in the areas with the highest positivity rates, no doubt driven by loose restrictions and huge crowds, even if outside
It seems the first record (from the COG data) there is of the 🇮🇳 variant being in the U.K. is 22nd February.
I am not sure, however, when it was actually sequenced or the onward journey of that and following samples.
I am not sure, however, when it was actually sequenced or the onward journey of that and following samples.
For those who want to do their own digging (and may be better at it than me) here is a link to the “front page”
You can search by country, region, variant and also access published studies,
outbreak.info
You can search by country, region, variant and also access published studies,
outbreak.info
This is what is happening here in the context of other variants.
And, remember, the 🇮🇳 was ticking over from 22nd February.
We should see the result of last week’s surge testing sequencing by this Thursday (but unsure how long the lag between testing and sequencing)
And, remember, the 🇮🇳 was ticking over from 22nd February.
We should see the result of last week’s surge testing sequencing by this Thursday (but unsure how long the lag between testing and sequencing)
https://twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1383905281222975488
It’s gone up again.
I think over 180 cases now, clearly overtaking the 🇿🇦 variant (but not B117! That still dominates right now. But in Maharashtra/ Delhi where B117 WAS dominant, now it seems likely 🇮🇳 B1.617 is.
Vaccination progress much slower in India
I think over 180 cases now, clearly overtaking the 🇿🇦 variant (but not B117! That still dominates right now. But in Maharashtra/ Delhi where B117 WAS dominant, now it seems likely 🇮🇳 B1.617 is.
Vaccination progress much slower in India
https://twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1384158958999408641
Some more interesting details of that Delhi to Hong Kong trip here.
Gives us some clue about what we have been missing.
Where’s our epidemiological studies?
Gives us some clue about what we have been missing.
Where’s our epidemiological studies?
https://twitter.com/fascinatorfun/status/1384434344140361734
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