Worth remembering that in Jan a very large seroprevalence study suggested that antibodies had been detected in 56.13% of the population of Delhi that is being absolutely swamped with Covid now.
So either that was an overestimate/there’s a lot of reinfection or what?
So either that was an overestimate/there’s a lot of reinfection or what?
https://twitter.com/gidmk/status/1383971853249630213
Whilst there is reason to be optimistic that vaccinations will take the worst edges off even new variants it is also reasonable to be cautious because we do not actually know.
And even mild to moderate disease can cause significant illness in a good % of people.
And even mild to moderate disease can cause significant illness in a good % of people.
https://twitter.com/SatyendarJain/status/1356547817427226624
I’m a fan of being cautious whilst we find out; curtail the possibility of what is occurring in India occurring here as far as poss whilst retaining some optimism in the way good vaccinations pump prime immunity
Always better to be several steps up the ladder than at the bottom
Always better to be several steps up the ladder than at the bottom
One of the questions that is relevant to successful vaccination programmes too is what level of the population has to have achieve immunity before herd immunity is achieved.
Wondering if it is markedly higher than we thought.
In which case maximum effort needed to support vaccination supply, deployment and uptake.
Also worth remembering that whilst India did maintain restrictions to a degree both religious and political events drew massive crowds
In which case maximum effort needed to support vaccination supply, deployment and uptake.
Also worth remembering that whilst India did maintain restrictions to a degree both religious and political events drew massive crowds
This article gives some insights into the testing and seroprevalence studies in India
Kerala has been pretty quick off the mark and systematic in its approach to Covid testing a far higher portion of its population than most states.
Just 10% were seropositive.
Kerala has been pretty quick off the mark and systematic in its approach to Covid testing a far higher portion of its population than most states.
Just 10% were seropositive.
Also worth remembering that we tend to find out the effect of variants through the rear view mirror and after they have driven cases up (B117 being one example).
It’s fine to be cautiously optimistic.
But wise to retain humility in the face of what we do not know.
It’s fine to be cautiously optimistic.
But wise to retain humility in the face of what we do not know.
https://twitter.com/ArisKatzourakis/status/1384129638465560583
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