I somehow feel compelled to state my view of the American Civil War (although it totally should be completely obvious ...).
I think the Confederacy was a bad cause for one reason only - slavery. That was the true cause of the secession & its original sin from which there is n
no escape. And in fact, the inevitability of what happened and why it had to happen (slavery) was already pointed out a long time earlier by Tocqueville.
But as for secession itself - calling it “treason” is no different that calling any secession treason, including the more
recent breaks up of Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia. The first was a federation that was entered into by consent & disolved peacefully, the second had a mote complicated origin & was dissolved by civil war. Is secession never justified unless it’s purely consensual? History of much
of the world does not suggest any clear answers. I myself strongly supported the failed secession of Biafra from Nigeria but there are also cases when I was not sympathetic to the secessionists. One thing has always clear however:
“Treason doth never prosper: what ’s the reason?
Why, if it prosper, none dare call it treason.”
If the Confederacy succeeded (in my opinion it could only have done so with the help of a European intervention - Napoleon III wanted to intervene but the British would not allow it) that Jefferson Davies and Lee would be national heroes and everyone would be congratulating the
Confederate States of America on each anniversary of its birth, and there would also be a Confederate Ambassador in Washington (or perhaps another city that would have become the Capital of the United States). I think such an outcome would have been unfortunate for the world
but historians and social scientists would have proved (by “scientific consensus”) that it was “inevitable”.

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More from @akoz33

21 Apr
Yesterday I listened to the second Mark Solonin talk on the Smolensk air crash that killed President Kaczyński in 2010. After that I could not sleep. This, together with the latest revelations about the GRU operations in the Czech Republic (explosions in Vrbetice) & now Slovakia
plus other recent revelations have drastically changed the way I this event. I used to estimate the chance of foul play in Smolensk at less than 5% now I think it’s over 90%. Solonin is responsible for much of this change: his typically careful analysis, using his knowledge of
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19 Apr
A fragment fragment from the memoirs of famous Soviet dissident general Petro Grigorienko. Grigirenko’s mother died when he was 3, leaving the father with three young boys and two grandmothers (one permanently unable to walk), and one uncle. The grandmothers arranged for
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18 Apr
It should by now be clear to anyone that all those who believed that Biden's election in place of Trump would be good for Ukraine or for the cause of freedom in Russia and Taiwan and everywhere else were utterly wrong.
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It is clearly too much to expect of these people to admit it, but key should now be discredited and however much "expertise" they claim to possess, their opinions should be treated with great scepticism.
Read 18 tweets
16 Apr
@CassianoDFarias That was discussed already at the beginning of the pandemic, see for example this extract from a paper in Nature, and the difficulties were described in some detail by K. Chumakov isn several interviews in a Russian. And for each adenovirus based vaccine there have since been
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@CassianoDFarias just the first dose of Sputnik V. AstraZeneca’s problems are well known, see for example

theguardian.com/business/2021/…
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15 Apr
Today on Mark Solonin’s YouTube Chanel there is another fascinating video in his “technicum” (a word use for technological higher schools in Russia & much of Eastern Europe), that is, how he calls his presentations devoted to technical (usually related to aviation) aspects of
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14 Apr
The final part of Illarionov's article is entitled "What Biden's phone call revealed about his attitude to Ukraine". I decided it would be better to make it into a separate thread, as it is essentially self-contained.
Not Biden's call (and the follow-up) clearly clearly showed what he was going to do and what he was not going to do. A lot of additional information has emerged showing how Biden actually relates to Ukraine.
First, the Washington-based "Politico" , which seems to have monopolized the channels of intentional leaks from the White House, has reminded us not for the first time that Biden had been keeping Ukraine at arm's length. ...
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