Exactly. This is a language game. To my mind, it’s pretty simple:
We should do the best we can to avoid a cold war with China. But we’re not, and neither is the Xi government. So we’re all sliding into one anyway. Bad.
And far too many Beltway types are fine with that bc:
a) The natsec community draws influence and a salary in an environment of strategic competition; China hawkishness will pay.
b) 30 years of unipolarity has impoverished American thinking about diplomacy. We’re too used to knee-jerk belligerence.
Consider, eg, that much GOP
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hawkishness on China is simply to cover-up for Trump’s massive incompetence on corona. Trump and MAGA would happily risk dangerous cold war competition rather than admit that Trump is a colossal idiot who didn’t care if Americans died.
So yeah, stumbling into a cold war with
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China is a really bad idea we should try hard to avoid - but we won’t. And Xi is making that so much easier too. So this will all get much worse.
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So think about your standard Fox analyst: ex-military, casually hawkish about almost everything, hung-up on displays of force and resolve, irresponsible threat inflator, not actually a subject matter expert on China or East Asia.
These people spent 20 years telling us that
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Muslims hate us, that 9/11 was the first in a string of terror to come in US cities, that Iran seeks regional hegemony, that the Iraq & Yemen wars were defensible, and so on. Almost all that was wrong. None of these people knew much about the Middle East. But scaring the crap
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out of Americans got them on TV and hired by hawkish think-tanks.
I’m about 80% positive the same thing is going to happen on China. These guys are going to have a field day and get lots of good consulting/TV gigs telling you that we’ve no choice but to cold war with China.
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I’m not saying it’s impossible. But it’s fairly outlandish: Would not a disaster so massive that it wiped out the cops, Guard, and military also send gangsters fleeing? When Katrina hit and the police disintegrated, didn’t the bad guys run also?
more capable than these apocalypse scenarios - to justify long gun ownership - admit. The US is NOT on the brink of anarchy, about to be invaded, about to collapse under the national debt, and so on. The American state has multiple levels and multiple agencies which use force.
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For them ALL to collapse so badly that you’re on your doorstep fighting off Mad Max with your AR-15 would require something like a nuclear strike to bring about. This is the scenario of the movie ‘Amerigeddon,’ not, um, anything remote plausible.
I’m not saying it’s impossible. But it’s fairly outlandish: Would not a disaster so massive that it wiped out the cops, Guard, and military also send gangsters fleeing? When Katrina hit and the police disintegrated, didn’t the bad guys run also?
The American state is far
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more capable than these apocalypse scenarios - to justify long gun ownership - admit. The US is NOT on the brink of anarchy, about to be invaded, about to collapse under the national debt, and so on. The American state has multiple levels and multiple agencies which use force.
3 Issues/Problems in S Korean Foreign Policy unrelated to the usual ‘shrimp among whales’ narrative
1. Sharp Partisan Polarization, particularly regarding NK
The result is abrupt right/left swings in foreign policy across partisan changes in the presidency, plus NK
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fantasies on both sides: the right’s strangelovian paranoia about NK infiltration and NK manipulation of the SK left; the left’s adamant refusal to admit that NK is '1984' and similarly adamant insistence that NK is a normal country & brother Korean state whose inherent
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cooperativeness is undercut by the Americans and sanctions.
2. Not Enough Grand Strategy
The Lee and Park governments produced rudimentary national security strategies; the Moon gov’t hasn’t even bothered. And MOFA white papers are more boosterish about Korean pop culture
What otherwise terrible movie is an unacknowledged classic in your mind?
I’d have to say Starship Troopers
‘Starship Troopers’ really came into its own when Fox News turned into the movie’s jingoistic news network after 9/11
Hudson Hawk? Jaws 4?? Good grief.
Don't choose the worst dreck ever, but dreck that has some unrecognized awesomeness.
"Commando," e.g. Idiotic beyond belief, but with the best one-liners of Schwarzenegger's career and non-CGI action sequences which still hold up pretty well
like this. It is genuinely the comedy of errors you see in the vid.
B. You didn't stand up to usher out your kids, bc you weren't wearing pants.
I have no dignity left🤦♂️. I remained seated, bc the show must go on. I'd done enough TV by then to know that.
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Pic: James at Xmas
You just have to push through. I also thought the interviewer, @BBCJamesM, or the producers, might end it. (We are very grateful to James for handling it all with such aplomb.) And also, it all happened so fast, I didn't really know what to do. But yes, I do wear
The GOP is now naturally a party of opposition, not of government.
1. Many (@gtconway3d; @AdamSerwer) have commented on the GOP's gradual embrace of ideological rigidity over competence, and know-nothingism in response to inconvenient facts. Good administration requires a
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basic ability to admit reality and solicit expertise in response to its problems:
thinking rhetorically, of the ease, like putting on an old glove, with which the GOP and Fox have slid back into hysterical opposition to a Democratic president: