Some curiosities in the Scottish government’s approach to education, international comparisons...and picking fights with teachers...
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1️⃣ Withdrawal from international comparisons
ScotGov has withdrawn from two international education surveys:
➡️Trends in International Mathematics & Science Study (Timss),
➡️ Progress in International Reading Literacy Study (PIRLS)
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PISA is last of big three Scotland still participated in.
2019 PISA reveals declining Scottish performance in maths and science.
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So why withdrawal from Timss & PIRLS)?
Scottish Ed Sec John Swinney blames a need to ‘save cash’.
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Of course the decision had nothing to do with what Audit Scotland describes as “static” funding of education in Scotland...
Perish the thought you cynically minded folk! 😏
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And nothing to do with falling performance in core subjects:
➡️ “worst ever score in maths and science in a major international comparative study of education” (thank goodness there’s only one major international comparative ScotGov needs to worry about, eh?)
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➡️ “Scotland scored better at reading than Northern Ireland but got a lower score than England and Northern Ireland on maths and science. England was best performing across all areas of the UK.”
Three cheers for being described as “around average” in maths and science...
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2️⃣ Caught between a rock and a hard place
The SNP seem stuck between the teaching unions on the one hand, and their former (and they hope future) big ‘Yes’ donors regarding their failure to close the attainment gap
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Angus Tulloch is an investment fund manager who gave £250,000 to Yes Scotland before the 2014 referendum.
He is angry at the teaching unions, and thinks the SNP are ‘failing’ to stand up to them...
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And John Swinney has been feeling the need in recent weeks to start arguing with Scotland’s largest teaching union...
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Naturally nobody in ScotGov has considered that maybe Curriculum for Excellence might be flawed, static education funding might be a problem & withdrawing from international education comparisons hides rather than addresses underlying issues.
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Nah, let’s all just pick a fight with the teaching unions...that’ll help matters...
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Almost forgot, I promised I'd start putting this link at the bottom of my twitter threads. It will (I hope!) take you to a collection of my previous twitter threads.
Why turnout & the number of postal votes matter in this election. And why Nicola Sturgeon is so risk averse as to duck BBCQT & unveil a magic money tree manifesto expanding middle class welfare
A thread.
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1️⃣ Postal Voting
The Holyrood 2021 election there are a million postal votes, 23.8% of the electorate.
This is an increase on the 17.7% in 2016.
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In 2016 the election turnout overall was 55.8% (constituency) and 55.9% (regional)
And exactly 726,555 postal votes were issued (17.7% of the total electorate)
Almost 77% of postal votes issued were returned by electors in 2016
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A thread gathering together core facts about the drug deaths crisis in Scotland. Following Nicola Sturgeon’s admission that she took her “eye off the ball on drug deaths”, just how big a tragedy has the SNP presided over?
Scotland has the more drug deaths per capita than any other European country.
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Fact Two:
Benzodiazepines are becoming used as a way for high-risk opioid users to self-medicate or increase the effects of their heroin or methadone addictions.
A thread outlining some of the SNP government’s financial and economic failures.
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1️⃣ Remember Fracking?
“Fracking is being banned in Scotland, end of story,”- Nicola Sturgeon
But it later turned out she squandered £175,000 to plead in court that she hadn’t actually banned fracking at all...
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2️⃣ That publicly owned energy company...
Four years ago Sturgeon pledged “energy would be bought wholesale or generated here in Scotland...and sold to customers as close to cost price as possible”.
Despite £400,000 spent, no company was ever established
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A recent poll has made a big splash about the potential of this #Supermajority. But if we take a moment to just look at the polling trend lines, it's far too early to be making any sort of prognostication about any such thing.
Plus SNP majority? What SNP majority?
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➡️Trend line since January 2021 - early April
Even to a layman's eyes, the downward trajectory of SNP support in regional polling is obvious.
If anyone is interested, the trendlines are local regressions (LOESS)
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Here the same downward trajectory can also still be seen with SNP constituency polling; albeit their support on the constituency has a higher upper level it's declining from.
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