What's all this about Fergus Ewing then?

A sorry story of unaccountability, dodgy deals, and the stench of sleaze amid a breached ministerial code.

Shady backroom deals spilling across Scottish and Westminster governments. And the current official silence is damning.

[1/20] Fergus Ewing & Sanjeev Gupta
➡️Doing Deals

At the heart of all of this are a complex set of financial deals struck between ScotGov, Sanjeev Gupta and Lex Greensill.

Hundreds of millions of pounds of taxpayers money is now at serious risk due to these deals.
[2/20]
Gupta secured massive state support to buy metal & power plants in ­Lanarkshire & Highlands.

But his firm GFG Alliance is in crisis. This is because his big-money backer Greensil Capital has already collapsed.
[3/20] Gupta & Nicola Sturgeon in 2016
➡️The Cail Bruich Dinner-Date

Rural Economy Secretary Fergus Ewing met Gupta & Lex Greensil (the name of a comic-book villain?) in 2017.

Over a dinner in Glasgow West-End's Cail Bruich official gov business was discussed but no ­officials present & no notes were taken
[4/20]
Scottish taxpayers are now potentially on the hook to the tune of hundreds of millions due to the complex financial deals struck; but this 2017 meeting is shrouded in near total mystery.
[5/20]
➡️Not Smelling Right

A Freedom of Information Request (FOI) reveals that no correspondence could be found one month on either side of this 2017 dinner-appointment.

But there is more...
[6/20]
Alongside Greensil, Gupta & Ewing at the 2017 dinner was Jay Hambro & Tim Haywood.

Haywood's presence is particularly interesting as he has since been suspended from his job as a city fund ­manager at GAM Holdings.

But wait...
[7/20]
Turns out no civil servants were present, so there is no official record of what these men all discussed in Cail Bruich. None. Nothing. Except...

"themes discussion" were apparently written down somewhere by GFG (Mr Gupta's firm)
[8/20]
"themes of discussion" is so incredibly vague, opaque and self-evidently self-serving that it can be dismissed as a credible account of anything at all.

After all Mr Gupta's lot are not objective civil servants calmly recording the affair in the public interest.
[9/20]
Oh, and it gets even more murky.

We still do not know who even paid for the dinner back in 2017. Nobody seems to remember who paid for it.

Not Mr Ewing, not Mr Gupta, nor even controversial banker Mr Greensill.

'I can't recall' is the epitaph of this SNP gov't.
[10/20]
➡️The Ministerial Code

The ministerial code: “meetings on official business should normally be arranged through private offices”. It also says a “private secretary or official should be present for all discussions relating to Government business”.
[11/20]
And...“Private offices should arrange for the basic facts of formal ­meetings between ministers and outside interest groups to be recorded, setting out the reasons for the meeting, the names of those attending and the interests ­represented”.
[12/20]
➡️No minutes were taken
➡️No civil servants were present
➡️No official correspondence to be had a month either side of the meeting

I put it to all of you that Fergus Ewing is in flagrant breach of the ministerial code relating to that dinner back in 2017.
[13/20]
➡️What is at risk?

So how much money are we poor bloody taxpayers potentially the hook for then?

£360 million.

And let's not forget that 100 workers at the Highland plant and those of thousands of UK steel workers are at risk too.
[14/20]
➡️Greensil, David Cameron, and shady deals across Westminster & Holyrood.

If you thought this couldn't get any more sleazy, you're wrong. It actually can.

We still haven't talked about controversial banker Lex Greensill yet...
[15/20] Lex Greensill
It came out last week that Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak tried to smooth the way for Greensill to gain special access to ­emergency Covid loans.

This was after ­lobbying from former prime minister David Cameron.
[16/20]
And this is all quite interesting because David Cameron allowed Greensill into the heart of government as an adviser while PM...only to go work for him after leaving No10.
[17/20]
So this Mr Greensill is tied to Cameron, WM government & also the SNP government in Holyrood.

And all of the headaches for Ms Sturgeon's government comes from the fact that Greensill Capital went belly-up recently; and he had been the primary financial backer for Gupta.
[18/20]
The SNP's claims "This meeting [2017] was properly recorded within government and opposition attempts to make ­mischief around this issue are utterly baseless."

But we know now this is flagrantly untrue.
[19/20]
Willie Rennie has a point: "The collapse of Greensill has exposed a shady network of backroom deals across the Scottish and UK governments."

It is time for a full blown inquiry into Greensill, Gupta-Greensill-ScotGov deal, and the Cameron lobbying for Greensill
[20/20]

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More from @DeanMThomson

11 Apr
➡️The Incumbency Factor

A thread outlining some of the SNP government’s financial and economic failures.
(1/12)
1️⃣ Remember Fracking?

“Fracking is being banned in Scotland, end of story,”- Nicola Sturgeon

But it later turned out she squandered £175,000 to plead in court that she hadn’t actually banned fracking at all...
(2/12)
2️⃣ That publicly owned energy company...

Four years ago Sturgeon pledged “energy would be bought wholesale or generated here in Scotland...and sold to customers as close to cost price as possible”.

Despite £400,000 spent, no company was ever established
(3/12)
Read 12 tweets
4 Apr
A recent poll has made a big splash about the potential of this #Supermajority. But if we take a moment to just look at the polling trend lines, it's far too early to be making any sort of prognostication about any such thing.

Plus SNP majority? What SNP majority?

[1/11]
➡️Trend line since January 2021 - early April

Even to a layman's eyes, the downward trajectory of SNP support in regional polling is obvious.

If anyone is interested, the trendlines are local regressions (LOESS)
[2/11]
Here the same downward trajectory can also still be seen with SNP constituency polling; albeit their support on the constituency has a higher upper level it's declining from.
[3/11]
Read 11 tweets
2 Apr
A fourth thread in my series calling out #Holyrood2021 election half truths, misleading nonsense & lies.

I'm focusing on a misleading claim by @theSNP about 'ending period poverty' for women. Also questioning just how 'committed' they are to improving the lives of women.
[1/12]
I want to focus specifically on the highlighted claim, where the SNP are claiming credit for 'ending period poverty' for women.

This features as part of a wider claim about 'improving the life chances of women' more generally.
Date of their tweet was April 2nd 2021.
[2/12]
➡️On ending period poverty for women

The heart of this boast by the SNP is the 'Period Products (Free Provision) (Scotland) Bill'; which was unanimously passed into law in November 2020.

Unanimous! Great, so the SNP deserve the credit you might think...but wait...
[3/12]
Read 15 tweets
2 Apr
So, what on earth is going on in Angus?

So far we've seen the SNP being told to repay £20,000 in #Covid19 support grants. Money originally intended to support small businesses, instead used to support nationalist politicking.
[1/6] Image
It's clear that Tim Rideout was teaching SNP supporters ways to 'game' the Covid business support grants.

But not just that, proceeding to also encourage a diversion of funds to his own group.
[2/6] Image
And his facebook boast "I have made over £50k for the indy cause today" stands ingloriously out there for all to see.
[3/6] Image
Read 8 tweets
1 Apr
Interesting in lots of ways.

Most obvious is Alba has further eroded SNP support on the list, but at only 3% unlikely to get anyone elected.

They might take enough support from the SNP to stop them getting list MSPs, while not getting enough switchers to get any Alba elected.
Also: constituency vote indicates that the SNP have not managed to turn the Hamilton Report moment into a strategic reset. Instead this poll, much like the general trend since October last year, suggests a continued slow unravelling of SNP support in the constituency numbers.
Only question is, will SNP support unravel fast enough to have an impact in the election in five weeks time? That I don't know.
Read 4 tweets
30 Mar
FM spoke of the importance of equality of opportunity in her 2016 priorities for Gov speech: “It will help to create not just a fairer nation, but one that is wealthier, healthier and happier”

Let’s look at food insecurity & childhood health to see if she delivered.
(1/11)
📈 Food Insecurity Rising 📈

The 2019 Scottish Health Survey showed that 9% of adults experienced food insecurity in the preceding 12 months.

While this is bad, it’s actually worse than you think.
(2/11)
The percentage food insecurity was 8% in 2017. It actually increased to 9% in 2018 and has stayed there through 2019. So food insecurity got worse under the SNP 2017-2019.
(3/11)
Read 12 tweets

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