If Trump's gains among Hispanics, esp conservatives, between 2016 and 2020 came in large part from an increasing focus on income growth/other economic gains, we could view that in part as an incumbency bonus — part of which might flow back to Biden in 2022/2024.
https://twitter.com/RonBrownstein/status/1385245576720048129
Biden will continue to face challenges of broader ideological sorting among conservative non-whites, but Dem gains among moderate and liberal whites — who make up a much larger share of the electorate — is an underrates story for 2020, both for POTUS and Dems taking the Senate
The shift among Latinos is a popular topic among media elites in part because it seems unfathomable to them that non-whites (or anyone really) would vote for Trump, but this stems from a broader misunderstanding of voter psychology and misses the relative importance of the change
Electoral patterns are interesting in their own right, so it's worth covering obvi, but that doesn't explain the disproportionate coverage of (maybe even downright obsession with) Hispanic voters in 2020. Dem journos look up and say "why would they leave?" and boom, 100 articles
Lots of writers on the east coast don't have a lot of exposure to moderate or conservative Hispanics, which probably also contributes to a gross fetishization of their politics -- similar to the reason you got a bunch of diner stories after 2016
https://twitter.com/NickRiccardi/status/1385255791217709056?s=20
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
