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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
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24 Apr, 15 tweets, 6 min read
“There are next to no ICU beds [left] in a city of 20 million" — Delhi hospitals are overwhelmed and collapsing without any oxygen left. 🧵

BBC journalist @yogital reports. #COVID19 #CovidIndia
2) When an anchor asks the executive director of Batra Hospital what it means that there’s zero oxygen... he replies “it’s over”.
3) I agree with @PrasadKasibhat1 - US needs to step up fast.
4) common people are dying on the sidewalks outside hospitals.
5) India’s deaths are vastly underreported. Vastly.
6) Yet we are projecting 1 million deaths in India by August 1, 2021. This conservative modeling is based on the current **reported** death trends!! Let that sink in.
7) the 1 mil death by August 2021 model also assumes vaccines bend down the mortality curve by mid May. If it doesn’t then deaths will be more. And don’t forget under reporting of deaths by more than 2x to 10x.
8) Yet the world is not vaccinating fast enough.

Here is now the world is doing in vaccines... not well.

(Partially) vaccinated:
▓░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
6.80%

Fully vaccinated:
░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
2.84%

To reach 60% at current rate:
966 days
9) The @IHME_UW model for India also includes sobering efficacy numbers for variants. Dr @AliHMokdad is one of the leading epidemiologists in the world... and this is what he’s working with in his AstraZeneca models. I will let u read for yourself.
10) the world will need accountability of this humanitarian crisis in India.
11) We need to plea for international support for India. Send them raw materials needed for more vaccines production. We all know India is likely 10x worse than what it seems.
12) Is Modi’s govt in India now suppressing the death count or just completely incompetent in counting all the dead? The world deserves to know. India’s citizens deserves to know!!! Goddamnit. #indiacovid #CovidIndia
13) 50% positivity in Kolkata where there is much fewer hospitals and much poorer healthcare ICUs. I’m beginning to think the death toll in India will vastly exceed 1 mil by fall. 5 million feasible considering 1 mil projections are conservatively diagnosed cases alone.
14) India is now short on oxygen, vaccines, testing, wood for even cremation, and even space for graves.
15) Yet, despite the overwhelming oxygen shortage, Modi’s loyalists are claiming there is no oxygen shortage. And threatens to seize the property of anyone claiming there is. Dystopian authoritarian crap.

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
26 Apr
Twitter has removed several tweets about Covid-19 at the request of the Indian government, including some that were critical of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's handling of a brutal second wave of the #COVID19 pandemic.
cnn.com/2021/04/26/tec…
2) “In a statement Sunday, India's Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology said it had asked Twitter (TWTR), Facebook (FB) and others to remove around 100 posts "in view of the misuse of social media platforms by certain users to spread fake or misleading information."
3) “It accused those users of creating "panic" about the latest Covid-19 wave by "using unrelated, old and out of the context images or visuals, communally sensitive posts and misinformation about Covid-19 protocols."

➡️Misinfo is easy BS to accuse.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
26 Apr
Horrible—India 🇮🇳 government **will not import #COVID19 vaccines** itself, but expects states and companies to acquire them on their own—a “recipe for disaster”.

Having spoken to J&J, Moderna, Pfizer—my India source says “there is no way this will work”!
sg.news.yahoo.com/news/exclusive… Image
2) But the sources said New Delhi was now leaving it up to India's states and companies to sign deals with foreign drugmakers
3) The worst-hit state, Maharashtra, has said it will float a global tender to import vaccines. It is the richest state in India but many poorer ones may fall behind without financial support from the federal government to buy doses from abroad.
Read 11 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
26 Apr
Brazil’s largest health nonprofit warns—pandemic is getting younger in Brazil. @fiocruz_en says 🇧🇷 is facing health system collapse & the #P1 pandemic is now affecting younger age groups: 30 to 39 years old, 40 to 49, and 50 to 59 more than ever. #COVID19
portal.fiocruz.br/en/news/fiocru…
2) “The Bulletin points to the fact that the pandemic is gaining a new face in Brazil: it is now rejuvenated. The study shows there has been a significant increase in the rate of Covid-19 cases in the age groups 30-39, 40-49, and 50-59, as observed in the first months of 2021.
3) “the concentration of cases is shifting to younger ages.
The researchers emphasize that since the beginning of the second wave, on the 46th epidemiological week (between 8 to 14 November 2020), health services have been seeing more young people with symptoms.
Read 9 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
26 Apr
“No oxygen shortage in any #COVID19 hospital” a leading Indian 🇮🇳 politicians now claims—& orders to further seize the property of individuals who spread “rumours” and propaganda on social media and try to “spoil the atmosphere”. Public statement too. 😡
thehindu.com/news/national/… Image
2) it sounds batshit crazy but it’s real.

Mr. Adityanath asserted that there was no shortage of oxygen supply in any COVID-19 hospital – private or government-run – but that the actual problem was blackmarketing and hoarding.
3) He made the statement in a video conferencing with select journalists on Saturday evening, as per a government spokesperson.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
26 Apr
Whoa—Boris Johnson said he ‘would rather let bodies pile high’ than impose third lockdown. They say Johnson lost his temper and “raged” after agreeing to new restrictions in late October 2020.

Reportedly—there are tapes. #COVID19
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi… Image
2) I suspect the tapes will be coming soon.
3) Is it still a wonder why UK has so many COVID anti-lockdown protestors?
Read 6 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
26 Apr
📍More younger people are being admitted to hospitals with the coronavirus than at any other time in the pandemic. Michigan hospitals are now admitting about twice as many #COVID19 patients in their 30s and 40s as they were during the fall peak. Thread 🧵 nytimes.com/2021/04/25/us/…
2) younger adults, many of whom only recently became eligible for vaccines, now make up a higher share of total hospitalizations. But the number of people in their 30s and 40s hospitalized with Covid-19 nationally has also increased somewhat since March, says CDC.
3) Hospitalizations among younger people have been up most notably in the Great Lakes states, with rises seen as well in the Mid-Atlantic.
Read 6 tweets

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