Thread by @jonworth

Agggghhh

@jwildeboer sent me this Spiegel 💉 story by @ClausHecking, abut J&J delivery problems in Germany

I will translate and take this one apart piece by piece

spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unt…

"Benachteiligt der Konzern die EU?"

"Is the company disadvantaging the EU?"

No, as we will see

"»Die zweite Lieferung wird nicht den ursprünglich prognostizierten Umfang haben«, schreibt das Bundesgesundheitsministerium"

"The second delivery will not have the originally forecast volume," writes the Federal Ministry of Health

That's correct. But let's get to *why*

"In den USA ist reichlich J&J-Impfstoff da"

"There is plenty of J&J vaccine in the US"

Yes, but Europe cannot get it because the United States has the Defense Production Act

That's why the EU has gone to great lengths - including temporarily repurposing a bottling line at IDK Biologika in Dessau to make sure Netherlands-manufactured J&J is not sent to the USA for bottling (and hence danger it's never returned)

thesundaily.my/business/japan…

"Und sie wirft abermals die Frage auf: Bevorzugt der US-Konzern Johnson & Johnson die USA gegenüber der EU?"

"And it again raises the question: Does the US company Johnson & Johnson prefer the USA over the EU?"

No. It's NOT J&J's CHOICE.

"Schließlich mangelt es den Vereinigten Staaten nicht an J&J-Impfstoff. Laut CNN stehen dort mehr als neun Millionen Dosen bereit"

"After all, the United States is not short of J&J vaccine. According to CNN, there are more than nine million doses ready there"

🤬

"Dabei wird auch der in den USA verabreichte J&J-Impfstoff nach SPIEGEL-Recherchen zum Großteil oder höchstwahrscheinlich sogar komplett in der EU produziert: bei der Konzerntochter Janssen in Leiden."

"According to SPIEGEL research, the J&J vaccine administered in the USA is largely or most likely completely produced in the EU: at the subsidiary Janssen in Leiden."

We know from New York Times that 3.9m J&J doses went from EU to US, and the total export number remains at just under 1m since start of Feb - see this tweet and subsequent ones in the thread

https://twitter.com/DaveKeating/status/1381537126991429638

The central accusation is hence wrong. If 9m J&J doses are stored, and 3.9m came from the EU, then the J&J in the USA is NOT "largely or most likely completely" from the EU

"Insgesamt gut 10m Dosen sollten laut der Aufstellung von Spahns Ministerium bis Ende Juni nach Deutschland kommen."

"A total of 10m doses should come to Germany by the end of June, according to Spahn's ministry."

Based on 2 weeks of data implying that's impossible?

And then it goes on to AstraZeneca

"Auch AstraZeneca hat nach SPIEGEL-Berechnungen weniger Impfstoff an Deutschland geliefert als versprochen."

"According to SPIEGEL calculations, AstraZeneca also delivered less vaccine to Germany than promised."

SHOCKER! AZ under delivers?

"AstraZeneca wird von der EU schon länger verdächtigt, Großbritannien zu bevorzugen."

"AstraZeneca has long been suspected by the EU of giving preference to the UK."

Oh give it a rest. Is this shortage in Germany due to that? We don't know.

So according to Spiegel the J&J shortage is because J&J is prioritising the US over the EU (WRONG: it's the US Govt stopping exports)

The AZ shortage is because of the UK (PROBABLY WRONG: it's because AZ is under-supplying everyone)

About the only thing they do get right is that there are supply shortages. Pretty much all of the rest is guff.

/ends

Oh and here are the CDC's J&J numbers. Which it might have made more sense to include than CNN's numbers...

covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…

Perhaps some of those "delivered" are Emergent produced and cannot be used. But 8m doses administered... would mean 7m from Leiden before 31 Jan