Last month @WHO Tedros said he was ready to deploy missions to investigate whether Covid-19 came from a lab.
Chinese media published an unnamed expert: "WHO will have to be held accountable if worldwide effort at [virus] origin tracing enters a deadlock." voanews.com/covid-19-pande…
This seems a bit like they're saying that if the WHO continues to be open to an investigation of possible lab origins of Covid-19, then the next phase of an investigation into the origins of the pandemic will be stalled. scmp.com/news/china/dip…
To be as clear as possible, @WHO did not say that Covid-19 definitely came from a lab.
It's that a lab/research-related #OriginofCovid19 is still one of the plausible hypotheses & must be properly investigated for the sake of humanity's future survival. who.int/director-gener…
Specifically, @WHO DG Tedros said on 30 March 2021: "Although the team has concluded that a laboratory leak is the least likely hypothesis, this requires further investigation, potentially with additional missions involving specialist experts, which I am ready to deploy."
This stands in contrast to the jubilant press announcements by some media companies (which I will not amplify) that the @WHO investigation (actually not an investigation according to even the WHO and the team itself) had ruled out lab origins of the virus as "extremely unlikely."
On March 30, 2021, the governments of numerous countries spanning North America, Europe, Oceania, Asia and the Middle East similarly called for a more transparent and timely investigation into the #OriginsofCOVID19
So what is their response now that the WHO is being warned via Chinese media that their comments about possible lab origins of Covid-19 could stall the next phase of the investigation?
My hope is that those 14 countries, the EU, and more countries launch their own investigation into the origins of Covid-19. If they produce an evidence-based analysis, even without China's cooperation, that should be published and considered the authentic report on the origins.
Even if an independent international investigation fails to determine exactly how the SARS2 virus emerged in Wuhan, at least there will be an honest account to the world that a lab leak was plausible but not possible to investigate properly due to lack of cooperation from China.
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Believe it not, I'm still slowly working through the China-WHO #OriginsofCOVID report+annex (300pg). Today I noticed that they didn't give specifics on the (suspected) COVID cases at the Wuhan Central Hospital with the 2 most prominent whistleblowers Dr Ai Fen and Dr Li Wenliang.
The patient with earliest covid-19 symptom onset on Dec 8? No idea which Wuhan hospital this person went to.
The original index patient with earliest onset on Dec 1? Excluded. Which Wuhan hospital received this person? What was the exact reason for exclusion?
Please, there needs to be a public peer review of this report by scientist/expert reviewers who take into account both the scientific data (if any of the raw data can even be accessed) as well as the public knowledge around the origins.
I really like the point Nick made here about being able to express scientific uncertainty.
I don’t think people expected the China-WHO team or experts to know where COVID-19 came from. So hearing some experts proclaim they almost know for sure it was 100% natural is puzzling.
Many news outlets even today continue to report the China-WHO conclusions that a lab origin is extremely unlikely or that the scientific consensus is that the virus was 100% natural. Who exactly constitutes this consensus?
I think this is a major science communication problem.
There are also opinion pieces that the natural origin scenario must be much more likely. But based on what assumptions? That SARS viruses often spillover in Wuhan (untrue)? Vs the lab doing the most SARSrCoV research sitting in the middle of that city for close to 2 decades?
The story of the quest for the origins of COVID-19 cannot be told without also telling the stories of the internet sleuths & outsiders who discovered clues and hidden stories of the viruses closely related to SARS2, Yunnan miners sick with pneumonia & a missing pathogen database.
We've seen a series of recent articles by stellar journalists chronicling the year+ of painstaking work by internet sleuths.
There have been lots of mistakes made and public conflicts with virologists on twitter... but their contribution is undeniable. cnet.com/features/how-t…
See this wonderful piece by @emmecola from December 2020:
"there are many other people, out of the spotlight, who deserve credit. They have been working tirelessly... they share and discuss their findings and, more importantly, they make discoveries." mygenomix.medium.com/the-origin-of-…
Worth 2min🎧 CIA Director and Director of National Intelligence say that the US intelligence community is still gathering info on the two #OriginsofCOVID theories around which components have coalesced: it emerged naturally or it was a laboratory accident.
Already seen some pushback on my What Next podcast interview with @slate@marysdesk
If you think lab leak=conspiracy theory, it should trouble you that top intelligence & experts are devoting an enormous amount of energy to investigating this hypothesis.
🚨 Covid Commission Planning Group (Covid CPG) "to prepare the way for a National Covid Commission that can seize this once-in-a-century opportunity to help America—and the world—begin to heal and safeguard our common future from new existential threats." millercenter.org/covidcpg
Covid CPG's 9 task forces include:
1 Origins and prevention
2 Assessment of the danger
3 National readiness
4 Communities at risk
5 State and local readiness
6 Caring for the sick
7 Diagnostics, therapeutics & vaccines
8 Stories of Covid
9 Solving data issues
"The Covid CPG effort is rooted in the belief that the scope of a future commission’s work must be national and international... A nonpartisan National Covid Commission could unite Americans to call upon their knowledge and practical skills across and beyond political parties."
Several scientists are reasonably curious about what the issues are with most prominent papers describing the same Guangdong pangolin CoV that shares a very similar spike RBD with SARS2.
If you're deeply curious about this, you should send an email to @Nature asking them to publish the authors' original response to the manuscript @shingheizhan and I submitted to them last May. We also recommend asking to see the peer reviewer comments. biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
Honestly, it's taking a lot of my will power not to just post these publicly so everyone can take a good look.