Hard to keep up with this fast-changing field; SO much incredible work coming out that I totally overhaul it every year and can still cover just a fraction.
Also, the latest syllabus for my experiments in politics course where students and I design, conduct, & analyze a study together: sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/files/20…
Plausible that effects will be limited, but the fact that this legislation may generate offsetting turnout or efforts to mobilize voters does not make it in any way ok
Two things can be true:
-The voting restrictions under consideration are very bad and anti-democratic. They should be defeated.
-The scope of effects they will create is unknown. The voter ID literature, for instance, finds small negative effects, not permanent minority rule.
The first point DOES NOT DEPEND on the second. Anti-democratic laws are bad full stop even if the harms they inflict are not unbounded.
Structural disadvantages for urban voters, Democrats, etc. can be anti-democratic too. The question is not binary.
One especially noteworthy set of findings from our new @BrightLineWatch survey are from the survey of local policymakers conducted by our partners @AskCivicPulse, which was paired with identical questions in our public survey. brightlinewatch.org/american-democ…
Our @BrightLineWatch/@AskCivicPulse survey found that GOP election distrust extends far deeper than just the public. Though Republican policymakers trust results more than Rs overall, they are still distrustful of results, especially at the national level. brightlinewatch.org/american-democ…