If you'd like a bit of a deeper dive on the position of science advisor to the US president, I recommend this:
Pielke, R., & Klein, R. 2009. The rise and fall of the science advisor to the president of the United States. Minerva, 47:7-29. sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/admin/publicat…
Here is Lander's opening statement
In it he characterizes his portfolio at OSTP in terms of 4 of 5 of Biden's "big questions" -- left out is what the country can do for S&T commerce.senate.gov/services/files…
That members of Congress of both parties (not just in this hearing) routinely stumble over saying "Office of Science and Technology Policy" tells us something about how often they use the phrase
Sen Blunt with an ARPA-H question, how does it differ from NIH?
Lander replies (again) by invoking the valley-of-death between basic research and commercial development
But NIH doesn't (in principle) do "basic research"
Lander comes across as brilliant and passionate in his area of expertise
There is a noticeable drop off in his knowledge of other areas of S&T policy
Sen Luján asks what Lander can do to ensure that science is not just in the room (member of cabinet) but considered in decisions
Lander filibusters
It appears that Lander staying away from concrete policy discussions is a strategy, focusing on generalities instead
More generalities
Sen Klobuchar asks Lander about climate change
"focus on innovation" to make energy generating technologies more efficient to close cost gaps
cybersecurity
"don't have enough people trained in it"
"make less hackable"
broadband
"such an important issue"
Democrats having a hard time finding someone to chair the Lander confirmation hearing is an apt metaphor for how OSTP is viewed in the federal policy ecosystem
Nice to have but not really an important player
Sen Rosen asks about science integrity
A great chance to tout Biden agenda on this
But Lander does not mention either the recent Biden memo or Congressional science integrity legislation
Seems clear that responding with happy generalities is the strategy here
And it'll work
Sen Sullivan fishes for praise of Trump on vaccines
Lander cleverly steers conversation to cold Alaskan winters and research centers
Very smooth
Senator Lunnis asks about rare earth minerals
Lander's tell that he doesn't know much about the topic is "such an important issue"
Says that 100% of Gallium is imported from China
According to USGS 2021 this is incorrect pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mc…
Lander is prepared with a written statement expressing his regret for his treatment of colleagues over CRISPR
Senator Lee asks about research ethics regulations
Lander is on record on some of Lee's questions, such as heritable genome editing:
"the extent to which the insurance industry directs, funds & validates the production & use of science for estimating risk is itself a full blown political enterprise that functions to prioritize industry interests"
Weinkle documents the co-optation of scientists by the insurance industry to create regulatory-friendly research that appears to be "independent"
The use of the resulting research by industry goes unchallenged and in fact, legitimizes the work of the (no so) "independent" experts as authoritative because industry is using it ... so a mutually reinforcing legitimization circle
There is an interesting investigative journalism project to be done on the revolving door between climate science & policy and private sector climate services
Just as one example, John Kerry's predecessor as "climate envoy" co-founded a consulting firm that feeds off of RCP8.5
Absolutely fascinating how climate scenarios (RCPs, SSPs & their derivatives) are enabling entirely new markets for consulting based on financial risk assessments of fictional futures
It is also amazing how much money is being paid to explore these outdated, fictional futures
Observing the monetization of climate scenarios I am reminded of this passage from Rayner and Sarewitz 2021 @TheBTI Journal on how the Chesapeake Bay Program confused models and reality thebreakthrough.org/journal/no-13-…
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Happy Monday
I'm going to let you in on a secret
It is out in the open but I doubt you've heard about it
Th most recent CMIP6 modeling studies of tropical cyclones/hurricanes project no detectable changes in storm metrics most associated with damage ... under RCP8.5 ... 1/n
Kreusseler et al GRL look at "integrated kinetic energy" (IKE) as a metric of potential damage and in model projections find "no significant changes in lifetime maximum IKE between present climate conditions and a projected climate scenario" agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…
Very important
Kreussler et al support Klotzbach et al 2020:
"minimum in MSLP seems to be a better predictor of IKE in HR than the max wind speed, which tends to support the use of central pressure deficit as a better proxy than max surface winds to estimate TC damage"
Here is the New York Times on the Swiss Re RCP8.5x10 analysis
“Rising temperatures are likely to reduce global wealth significantly by 2050, as crop yields fall, disease spreads and rising seas consume coastal cities...”
I’ll never forget the 1st time I contacted police on a blog harasser — he threatened gunshots in heads of my children, only to find out he was a college professor & is still harassing me today⤵️
Online harassment takes other forms also:
Then there is/was a Twitter “blocklist” that includes me and my followers (taken at some point in time promoted & shared by a lead of the US Natl Climate Assessment & a leading journalist — obviously intended to isolate and marginalize
I’ve seen that online harassment can become real world harassment with real world consequences