Today in depreciation (not):

Buy a 2012 Audi R8 Convertible w/a proper 6 speed manual shifter + the big(ger) V10 engine. Then put only 3800 miles on it.

You paid $176,400 MSRP - one of 423 cars spec'd this way - today gets you $203k, a gain of 15.1%.

bringatrailer.com/listing/2012-a…
Run that $176,400 an inflation calculator since 2012 and its $203,508 in 2021 dollars.

Therefore this car sold for its MSRP on an inflation adjusted basis nine years after its original sale.
I keep wondering how much of these prices are being driven by supply constraints related to semiconductor chip shortages for new automobiles.

wsj.com/articles/globa…
I put mileage on cars, cause they were built to be driven - not sit in garages. Sunny + >50 degrees its top down cruising, depreciation be damned.

Gaskets dry out, hoses leak, rubber decays. Cars like horses need to be taken out + ridden lest they grow arthritic and sad.

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More from @ritholtz

16 Apr
Sorry to tell David Einhorn this, but absurd valuations for silly penny stock companies have been around for years.

To wit, the $100 million Grilled Cheese Food Truck circa 2015. @mattmiller1973 @tomkeene @lisaabramowicz1

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
If you took that as your sell signal, you left some money on the table: Markets have more than doubled since then.

ritholtz.com/2015/02/would-…
The key point here: There are always examples of silly valuations, especially among penny stocks, a hotbed of fraud, self-dealing, manipulation and nonsense.

My 2015 grilled cheese truck lesson? Be wary of drawing broad market conclusions from illiquid microcap scamcos
Read 9 tweets
7 Apr
Friend with Covid became a long hauler, suffered with shortness of breath, uneven heartbeat, lost sense of smell since last March.

Just got vaccinated + it helped substantially: long-haul symptoms improved: Energy returned, aches vanished, even sense of smell returned.
It was the Pfizer vaccine:

"PFE shot. I'm still feeling great a week into this recovery. Truly miraculous."
This is the latest I found on it . . .

cnn.com/2021/04/03/hea…
Read 5 tweets
29 Mar
Last week saw the one year anniversary of the 2020 Covid Crash lows, accompanied by a lot of bad and misleading commentary.

A quick thread with observations & criticisms as to how so many missed the mark.

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…

1/
12 months after March 23, 2020 lows the S&P 500 Index gained 75%.

Why is the time it takes the earth to complete one orbit around the sun relevant to stocks?

Add a month to 12 month time period, and the gains crash to ~15%.

75% vs 15%!! What a difference one month makes!

2/
Also worth noting: When the price of an asset falls 34%, it requires about a ~52% move higher to get back to breakeven.

Said differently, 2/3rds of that rally was simply getting back to where the markets where before the crash.

3/
Read 14 tweets
13 Mar
101 Million+ vaccinations!

Americans have received 101 million doses of vaccines, an average of 2.30 million doses per day were administered.

101 Million vaccinations! ting us that much closer to herd immunity! 1

bloomberg.com/graphics/covid…
The lockdown that started March 2020 with anyone who wants a vaccine targeted by May 2021 gives us a target date in June.

That means we are at the 75% point today.

ritholtz.com/2021/03/light-…
In November we were at the halfway point. June was a hopeful optimistic date. But it is looking more realistic than ever.

You can just imagine what full, safe, healthy re-opening is going to look like

ritholtz.com/2020/11/halfwa…
Read 10 tweets
12 Mar
If you had a spare $69 million laying around to spend on Art, would it be in this direction? Or would it be in a more physical, less digital format?

onlineonly.christies.com/s/beeple-first…
That $100k Banksy that was burnt/converted into a NFT sold for 4X its purchase price

news.bitcoin.com/burned-banksy-…
Here's a good explanation of why (and what) this sale was about:

slate.com/technology/202…
Read 4 tweets
10 Mar
Inflationary Risk Factors:

Mild inflation 2-3%
Transitory inflation (3-4%) lasting 2-6 quarters
Robust inflation 4-6%
Deflation (real) -1%
Dis-inflation 0-1%
Stagflation +6-8% + rapidly rising unemployment
Hyperinflation +10-20%

Those are my definitions of various 'Flations

1/
Inflation is in the news again, but not for the reasons you might believe.

It has little to do with nominal real inflation, less to do with actual real inflation, and nothing to with rates.

I suspect it I partly a political stunt. More on this below.
2/
I have been criticizing how BLS, Fed + Wall Street measure inflation for a long time.

The predictions about it have been consistently bad, often terrible.

ritholtz.com/inflation/

3/
Read 17 tweets

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