A thread

$ROKU

* Three years ago today, consensus analyst estimate for 2021 revenue was $1.5B.

* Today it is $2.6B, fully 73% higher.

COVID didn't "pull forward" growth that will "revert."

It changed the world permanently.

/1
A 'scan' for growth can leave you knowing 10% thinking you know 90%.

It happens to all of us.

It takes work to be a stock picker.

It takes a willingness to sit in an underappreciated stock where 'underappreciated' is code for bad returns...

... until they aren't.

/2
I call this patience 'perspective,' but w/e. It's all the same thing.

Either you have it or you do not.

Charlie Munger said it well (image).

Morgan Housel said it well too:

The Agony of High Returns:
fool.com/investing/gene…

/3
A growth stock down 50% multiple times is normal.

If that doesn't fit your style, honor yourself; love yourself.

It's not a matter of intellect, it's a matter of taste.

Find your style.

If it's growth, buckle the up. It's a bumpy ride.

4/4

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More from @OphirGottlieb

30 Apr
A brief thread

$FIVN @Five9

* Revenue: $137.9M vs $122.6M est
* Adj EPS: $0.17 vs $0.13

Guidance FY 21
* Revenue: $550M vs $520.6M

* 100% of Five9’s revenue is cloud based.

* 92% of the company’s revenue is recurring.

But that's not even the story...

/1
$FIVN

* DBNER: 121% versus 117% last quarter and 111% a year ago.

At scale, DBNER is at all time highs.

But that too is not story.

/2
$FIVN

When the company went public in Q2 2014, it had:

– 3 enterprise customers over $1M in annual recurring revenue (ARR).

– 60% of revenue derived from all enterprises.

* As of Q4 2020, it had:

– 91 enterprise customers over $1M ARR.

Still not the story...

/3
Read 8 tweets
28 Apr
$AAPL

* EPS $1.40 Beats $0.99 Estimate
* Sales $89.58B Beat $77.35B Estimate
2/n

$AAPL

* $47.938B In iPhone Sales VS $28.9B YoY
3/n

$AAPL

Apple Adds $90B To Buyback;

Raises Qtr. Dividend From $0.205 To $0.22/Share
Read 8 tweets
28 Apr
1/n

$FB wow
2/n

$FB

* EPS $3.30 Beats $2.37 Estimate
* Sales $26.17B vs $23.67B Estimate
3/n

$FB

Q1 Average Daily Active Users 1.88B, Up 8% Year Over Year
Read 4 tweets
27 Apr
1/n

$PINS

* EPS $0.11 Beats $0.07 Estimate
* Sales $485.23M Beat $473.66M Estimate
MAU: 478M vs 480.5
2/n

$PINS

Guidance

... ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and other factors. Our current expectation is that Q2 revenue will grow around 105% year over year.

In Q2, we expect global MAUs to grow in the mid-teens and US MAUs to be around flat on a year-over-year percentage basis.
3/n

$PINS

That 105% guidance means:

Revenue: $559M vs $530.43M
Read 20 tweets
27 Apr
A thread on $FTCH

CML Pro members I am speaking about $FTCH in Community.

Some thoughts on $FTCH

With Farfetch, we have a third leg to the story — China.

/1
As you will read with our earnings review in a couple of weeks, Farfetch has a fabulous position in China — unusually strong for a non Chinese brand.

We got news from Alizila, which is Alibaba’s for profit news outlet, that Farfetch has launched its Luxury Pavilion.

...

/2
Here’s a snippet:

------

Farfetch officially debuted its digital store on Tmall Luxury Pavilion on Monday – a move that drastically expands the range of products available to millions of shoppers on the Alibaba-owned platform for luxury and designer brands.

------

...

/3
Read 9 tweets
26 Apr
A thread:

From this morning's new Top Pick dossier.

We see a decade long thematic coming and we have not heard or read any other research firm define it, so we will define it.

(bit.ly/CMLPro)

/1
This may be the largest thematic we cover, perhaps eclipsing the size of the genomics space.

In the future we believe that research shops and analysts will begin to use the word "engament" not as verb to describe activity on a platform but as a thematic.

Let me explain...

/2
(Virutally) every company in the in world, digital or otherwise, sews sales rise as engament rises.

First, some non obvious examples:

* More time in an aisle at a grocery story means more sales and loyalty.

* More time at an auto dealer means a more likely sale.
...

/3
Read 16 tweets

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