More people diagnosed with COVID in past 2 weeks than in first 6 months of pandemic

India and Brazil account for more than half of last week’s cases.

1/

nydailynews.com/news/national/…
How safe will it be to have the olympics in Tokyo?
Six torch staffers diagnosed with COVID-19. All of them assisted with traffic control and wore masks.

2/

reuters.com/lifestyle/spor…
Brazil exceeded 400,000 COVID-19 deaths at the end of the country's deadliest month of the pandemic.

More have died in the first four months of this year than in all of 2020. The death toll jumped from 300,000 to 400,000 in the past five weeks alone.

3/
npr.org/sections/coron…
NY, NJ, CT governors decided to lift capacity restrictions on businesses, including retail stores, food services and gyms on May 19.

This will result in more transmission, hospitalizations and deaths. Elimination is a better objective.

4/

reuters.com/world/us/most-…

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More from @yaneerbaryam

5 May
India's new cases and deaths are lower than the peak in past few days, reported cases are down from 402,110 cases to 392,562; 370,059; 355,828; 382,691.

We want to see a strong and sustained decline.

The decline is happening as restrictions are being increased.

1/ Image
Increasing restrictions are visible in a "sringency index" but the restrictions are not as strong as earlier.

Achieving a rapid decline is the best ways to save lives and livelihoods. Restoring economic activity doesn't work well when balancing tradeoffs.

2/ Image
The 7 day average of Brazil's cases has declined since the end of March going from over 77,000 to 59,000, a very slow decline.

Brazil's over 400,000 total deaths are second only to the US, with over 576,000 deaths. US also has most reported cases: over 32 million.

3/ Image
Read 7 tweets
3 May
Project reveals asymptomatic spread in schools

"A pilot project in the Omaha Public School district detected new SARS-CoV-2 infections which wouldn't have been detected otherwise...

1/

unmc.edu/news.cfm?match… via @TwitterAPI
"indicating that infection and case rates in schools are much higher that what's being reported

"Infection rates detected..were two-and-a-half times higher for staff and nearly six times higher for students than what was routinely observed.

2/
"Additionally, the project found almost 10 times the cases per population than what was observed through community testing in the surrounding county.

"This data shows the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in school-aged children is being dramatically underestimated,"

3/
Read 5 tweets
1 May
India reported over 400,000 new cases, over 3,500 new deaths (both likely under-reported)

US will deny entry to most foreigners who have stayed in India within last 14 days, starting May 4

However, there is no quarantine for returning Americans, as from China Jan 31 2020.

1/
Simultaneously, the US is sending oxygen tanks to India to help medical care. International cooperation is essential for better outcomes for all. It would be wise to invest more in helping all countries eliminate Covid.

2/
France has reported its first confirmed case of the Indian Covid variant.

3/
Read 6 tweets
25 Apr
#ZeroCovid New Zealand hosts a 50,000 fan concert, the biggest event since the pandemic began

1/

nypost.com/2021/04/25/500…
Washington state cases increasing rapidly: 4th "wave"
abcnews.go.com/US/washington-…

2/
Japan has not declared it is canceling Olympics despite their third wave

3/
forbes.com/sites/tommybee…
Read 7 tweets
23 Apr
New study on NY B.1.526 variant warns possible reduced vaccine effectiveness:

“Pseudovirus containing spike gene mutations associated with B.1.526 was SIGNIFICANTLY MORE RESISTATANT TO NEUTRALIZATION by either convalescent or vaccinee plasma.”

1/

biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
“…high frequencies of SARS-CoV-2 variants has potential impacts on selection of appropriate antibody therapeutics and vaccination strategies.”

2/
Contrast @NYTimes article citing it:

"Vaccines Are Effective Against the New York Variant, Studies Find

"The research adds to a growing number of findings suggesting the Pfizer and Moderna shots are protective against the variants identified so far.

nytimes.com/2021/04/22/hea…

3/
Read 4 tweets
21 Apr
Important!

British Columbia, Canada, declared they will restrict travel between health zones: Divide and conquer strategy is key to winning.

Next step: Stop transmission by rapid identification and supported quarantine.

Here is the roadmap:

1/

covidactiongroup.net/roadmap-to-eli…
India's cases and deaths continue to reach all-time highs.

Multiple reports on double mutant variant are inconsistent about its role. Limited sequencing being done. It may well be important. Reports of a tripple mutant variant surfacing.

Vaccines at risk.

2/
"Rajeshwari Devi, 58, died on Sunday after waiting for two days to get uninterrupted oxygen, an ambulance and a bed in a Covid-19 hospital.

"She kept waiting and gasping but it was too late by the time help arrived.

3/

bbc.com/news/world-asi…
Read 21 tweets

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