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6 May, 37 tweets, 5 min read
Chip shortage forces automakers to leave out some high-end features europe.autonews.com/suppliers/chip…
When automakers were first hit with chip shortages at the end of last year, they tried idling factories until the trouble passed

But with the crisis stretching into its fifth month and getting worse, they are getting creative to keep at least some production moving forward
Nissan is leaving navigation systems out of thousands of vehicles that typically would have them because of the shortages

Ram no longer offers its 1500 pickups with a standard "intelligent" rearview mirror that monitors for blind spots
Renault has stopped offering an oversized digital screen behind the steering wheel on its Arkana SUV - also to save on chips

The crisis is an historic test for the century-old auto industry just as it is trying to accelerate a shift toward smarter electric vehicles
For decades, automakers moved steadily to include more and better advanced features, but now they are stripping some of them out - at least temporarily - to salvage their sales

That rollback underscores the depth of the issues facing the industry
Just last week, BMW, Honda and Ford Motor all flagged worsening problems from chip shortages
A failure to secure critical supplies is a massive short-term setback - millions of vehicle sales will be lost this year - and is a bad sign for the future as competition from tech-savvy Internet and consumer-electronics companies intensifies
"This probably gets worse before it gets better," said Stacy Rasgon, who covers the semiconductor industry for Sanford C. Bernstein

"It just takes a long time to bring this kind of capacity online"
NXP Semiconductor CEO Kurt Sievers said the shift to EVs is happening faster than anticipated, which has added to the increased demand for automotive chips
NXP plans to ship at least 20% more auto chips by revenue in the first half of 2021 compared with the first half of 2019, even though car production has dropped about 10% over the period, he said
Mark Liu, chairman of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, cautioned the crisis is far from over
His company, which is the world's most advanced chipmaker and will be critical to any resolution, will begin to meet auto clients' minimum requirements by June, but expects the car-chip shortages could last until early 2022, he said in an interview with CBS
Automakers cannot just wait

One reaction to the shortage is to allocate the scarce components to more profitable and better-selling vehicles at the expense of other models - something manufacturers like Renault and Nissan are doing
Automakers are also building vehicles with less technology

Peugeot is going back to old-fashioned analog speedometers for its 308 hatchbacks, rather than use digital versions that need hard-to-find chips
General Motors said it built some Chevrolet Silverado pickup trucks without a certain fuel-economy module, costing drivers about 1 mile per gallon
Nissan is cutting the number of vehicles with pre-installed navigation systems by about a third, according to a person familiar with the matter
Nissan, which in early January became one of the first automakers to warn of an impending shortage, is also prioritizing chip supply to the two best-selling models in each major market, the person said
In one instance, Nissan flew chip supplies from India to the U.S. on a chartered cargo flight to help production move forward there

A representative for Nissan declined to comment
Buyers of Renault's Arkana now have to settle for a smaller display without a navigation map and forgo an option for a phone charger by induction
Stellantis has modified the Ram 1500 pickup so that the digital rearview mirror that usually comes standard is now available only as an upgrade option, according to a person familiar with the matter
The manufacturer is also using parts that do not require chips from its more basic Ram Classic truck to keep the pricier version moving down the assembly line
"Given the fluid nature of this complex issue, Stellantis employees across the enterprise are finding creative solutions every day to minimize the impact to our vehicles so we can build the most in-demand products as possible," spokeswoman Jodi Tinson said in an email
The car industry's predicament dates back to poor planning during the pandemic and limited chipmaking capacity but it's been compounded by shrinking available cargo space as the global economy recovers from COVID-19

When automakers can secure orders their chips often cannot ship
That bottleneck is compounded by the fact that major car-chip makers NXP, Infineon Technologies and Renesas Electronics account for just 40% of supply, with the remaining 60% split between tens of thousands of smaller designers
Those smaller players often lack the influence to get their chips manufactured at foundries when capacity is tight
In at least one case, automakers are asking a major chipmaker to send microcontrollers that do not meet standard specifications, a person familiar with the matter said
Those sub-standard chips would not jeopardize safety essentials, like brakes, the person said, but they could mean in-car entertainment or emissions monitoring systems are more likely to malfunction in extreme weather
Automakers and suppliers can accept whatever chips are available and rewrite the software to give them a new task, said Sig Huber, a consultant at Conway MacKenzie and a former head of purchasing at Fiat Chrysler
Tesla said last week it alleviated issues by reaching out to new semiconductor suppliers and then quickly writing new firmware for those chips
Stellantis is working on more standardization across its vehicle lineup rather than having to use specific chips for some models, Chief Financial Officer Richard Palmer said on a call with reporters this week
"More standardization and flexibility, which is key when we have supply constraints," he said

"We are managing scarcity"

Automakers are also stocking incomplete cars, or "building shy" in industry parlance, to keep production lines humming
In Hamtramck, greater Detroit, an area stretching several blocks is filled with Ford F-150 pickup trucks without some chips

General Motors said it is also storing unfinished vehicles while awaiting semiconductors
Meanwhile, behind the scenes, suppliers are going to unusual lengths to try to secure chips

A Stellantis partner called JVIS-USA LLC tried to sue NXP in a Michigan court in April in an attempt to get more chips, but a judge rejected its request
Visteon flagged that automakers may seek compensation because of the shortages

In Japan, Toyota President Akio Toyoda visited a Renesas plant that had suffered a fire to hasten its return to production
Yet no relief is in sight, with even Apple, whose high-specification iPhones and aggressive demands typically place it at the front of the chip-customer line, saying last week it's starting to feel the pinch
That may leave automakers wanting even when chip manufacturers eventually manage to increase capacity
"This has the potential to be a longer-term issue," said Anna-Marie Baisden, an automotive analyst at Fitch Solutions

"This will only be exacerbated as vehicles become technologically advanced and use more chips"

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More from @jpr007

8 May
ADAC REVIEW - VW ID.3 PRO PERFORMANCE WITH 58 kWh BATTERY

The ID.3 as Pro Performance 1st Max with 58 kWh battery costs 48,735 euros new

Only a few options are available, the model is basically fully equipped

adac.de/_ext/itr/tests…
That and the 3,000 euros (net) manufacturer's contribution to the electric car premium put the price into perspective somewhat, but the test car still remains an expensive car in its class
This does not take into account that the software is not yet ready in important parts and has considerable bugs - the vehicle should not really be sold in this form yet

This gives customers little pleasure, but all the more frustration due to the dropouts and malfunctions
Read 18 tweets
8 May
AUTOMOBILE COST OF OWNERSHIP - GERMANY ADAC

The German automobile club ADAC publishes information on vehicles sold in its market, including Cost of Ownership analysis like the one summarised here for VW Golf

The starting points are List Price, Time Horizon, and Annual Mileage Image
The results are provided in the form of monthly costs in four categories and then converted to Euro cents per km as shown here for the 17 different versions of the VW ID.3 Image
ADAC METHODOLOGY

Calculation basis for the standardized car cost calculation

1. HOLDING PERIOD

- 24 to 60 months with a standard of 60 months

2. MILEAGE

- 5,000 to 60,000 km per year with a standard of 15,000 km per year and a maximum cumulative total of of 160,000 km
Read 25 tweets
8 May
ADAC ANALYSIS SHOWS BEVs ARE NOW BEATING ICEVs ON CUSTOMER COST

- VW ID.3 and Hyundai Ioniq show the clear advantages

- Tesla Model 3 NOT included in the analysis Image
ADAC COMMENTARY :

The total cost calculation uses a five-year holding period and 15,000 km/year

The VW ID.3 clearly beats comparably powered and equipped VW Golf petrol and diesel models when taking into account the electric purchase subsidy
The reasons for this are the lower depreciation in absolute terms, the lower fixed costs with no vehicle tax, and above all the significantly better insurance type classifications of the ID.3
Read 6 tweets
2 May
REUTERS EXCLUSIVE

Jidu Auto, an electric vehicle venture between China’s tech giant Baidu and Chinese automaker Geely, aims to plough 50 billion yuan ($7.7 billion) into producing smart cars over the next five years, its chief executive told Reuters

reuters.com/business/autos…
Xia Yiping said on Friday that the funding would come from Baidu and other investors and Jidu would aim to launch its first electric vehicle EV in three years, as is standard for the industry, but would make efforts to speed this up
Its first EV would look like a "robot" and would target young customers, Xia said, adding that Jidu would analyse big market data before deciding on a final model
Read 11 tweets
2 May
FOUR THOUGHTS FOR THE DAY 20210501

1. We are already in a period of automobile Supply Shortage relative to Natural Demand

That Supply Shortage has the potential to total up to as much as 600 million vehicles during the 15 years through 2034 Image
2. This 600 million vehicle Supply shortfall will represent a huge portion of the Global Vehicle Fleet, which is only around 1,500 million vehicles today

- and it will be due to Battery Supply limitations Image
3. One consequence of this lack of new vehicles may be to raise the value and longevity of Used Vehicles during those "Supply Shortage Years" beyond what many of us are expecting Image
Read 5 tweets
30 Apr
TESLA MARKET SHARE TREND - 2021 Q1

1. EUROPE

2021 Q1 Tesla Market Share = 15.3%

1/6
2. CHINA

2021 Q1 Tesla Market Share = 19.0%

2/6
3. USA

2021 Q1 Tesla Market Share = 74.8%

3/6
Read 6 tweets

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