🧵And now, my attempt to convince you that Lothians has something for everyone.
1 You've got 3 of the seats represented by 3 different parties since 1999: Ed Southern, Central and Pentlands
Ed Southern stands out as its Westminster counterpart hosts Scotland's only Lab MP.
1 You've got 3 of the seats represented by 3 different parties since 1999: Ed Southern, Central and Pentlands
Ed Southern stands out as its Westminster counterpart hosts Scotland's only Lab MP.
Ed Pentlands was the site of Con constituency recovery in 2003. After the Scottish map drained itself of blue from the top down, that reappearance emerged in the south and EdP (the Westminster seat was also Malcolm Rifkind's when he was SoS)
Ed Central's story is one of Scotland in miniature - Labour stronghold, giving way to the two poles on the constitutional debate.
All three are also 3-way marginals, more vulnerable to smaller changes in opinion.
Plus you've got interesting histories for Ed N&L, 2 Greens off
All three are also 3-way marginals, more vulnerable to smaller changes in opinion.
Plus you've got interesting histories for Ed N&L, 2 Greens off
the list. Why am I telling you this?
1. Because this was ALWAYS a region with highly mobile & tactical voters. The Ed Western result is a confirmation of this - LD gains helped by collapse of the Lab and Con vote. See also Ian Murray's results in 2019.
2 There is no uniform
1. Because this was ALWAYS a region with highly mobile & tactical voters. The Ed Western result is a confirmation of this - LD gains helped by collapse of the Lab and Con vote. See also Ian Murray's results in 2019.
2 There is no uniform
swing in this election- swings bouncing all over the place depending on local context, Leave vote, incumbency effects. The stability in aggregate results is revealing considerable individual-level churn. What we've seen so far in the Lothian constituencies reflects all of this
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
