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Peter Ungphakorn

8 May, 10 tweets, 9 min read

COVID-19 IN SWITZERLAND. Week to 08.05.2021—slight improvement

Last easing Apr 19

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 wks
● cases—7757 & 267 (⬆️)
● in hospital—321 & 8 (⬇️)
● deaths—117 & 1.2 (⬆️)

R(e): down—0.85
Vaccinations: 3m (1m 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/10

AND FOR THE PAST FORTNIGHT, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. J&J approved, not ordered. Supply picking up. Not yet approved: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/10

VIRUS VARIANTS detected

UK variant dominant

Public Health Office: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Science Task Force: sciencetaskforce.ch/en/nextstrain-…

3/10

BY CANTON: LAB-CONFIRMED CASES IN the past fortnight per 100K population—Slight increase (but more testing). Worst still in Uri. Dark end of scale down from 1008 to 766.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

4/10

BY CANTON: LAB-CONFIRMED HOSPITALISATION in the past fortnight per 100K population—Improving, down from 9.07 to 8.04. Mixed pattern. Worst in Uri and Appenzelll I. Dark end of scale down from 30 to 22

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

5/10

BY CANTON: DEATHS (which lag case numbers) tell yet another story—Overall numbers up slightly, from 1.1 to 1.2. Varied pattern. Uri now no deaths. Glarus and Thurgau worst. Far end of scale up from 2.9 to 5.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

6/10

INTENSIVE CARE CAPACITY AND OCCUPANCY: all patients and COVID-19

Over 150 hospitals/clinics (Glarus, Appenzell Innerrhoden have no IC units)

All patients: improving in west

COVID-19: improving

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/hosp-capaci…

7/10

R(e) ESTIMATES: national over time, cantons latest.

Falling. Only Luzern and Appenzell I >1. Obwalden and Uri <0.8

Estimate: 0.85 nationally (from 0.98)

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/repro/val

Note: Swiss schools have stayed open during lockdown

8/10

VACCINATIONS

Acceleration, supplies up
Delivered: 3.7m=42% (from 3.1m/36%)
Administered: 3.0m=35% (from 2.6m/31%)
Fully (2 doses): 1.0m=11.7% (from 930K/10.8%)

covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
(Includes demographics)

9/10

LATEST: Next possible relaxation May 26

Vaccinations accelerate to >53K/day

R number down further

Some cantons now vaccinating all adults (some over-16s)

A forgery-proof Covid-19 certificate available by the end of June

Current situation: swissinfo.ch/eng/covid-19_c…

10/10

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Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

5 May

https://twitter.com/AmbassadorTai/status/1390021205974003720

Now this is quite a turn-around

https://twitter.com/AmbassadorTai/status/1390021205974003720

Notes:

1. Tai supports the waiver for COVID-19 *vaccines*. The waiver proposal is for all products related to the pandemic: medicines, testing kits, PPE, ventilators, etc

2. She anticipates a long negotiation, suggesting the US *might* be seeking constraints or conditions

3. The proposed waiver is not only for patents, which already have flexibilities such as compulsory licensing, but also three other areas, which don't—copyright, industrial designs and trade secrets.

It will be interesting to see if the US accepts waiving all four areas

Read 7 tweets

Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

4 May

https://twitter.com/JohnHol32019188/status/1389464497933402114

Thanks, but I have reservations.

I'm happy to read about where policies might be going wrong, to discuss whether the characterisation of the ideologies behind trade liberalisation are correct.

But is the WTO is only of that ideology? The leap to "WTO reform" is illogical

1/5

https://twitter.com/JohnHol32019188/status/1389464497933402114

1. It's false to assume that "rules-based" (p8) means the same as "liberalisation". You can have "rules-based" trade barriers and indeed the WTO agreements allow for many. Some argue that having predictable rules is more valuable than lowering tariffs that are already low.

2/5

2. Which highlights the fact that WTO agreements—the outcome of negotiations—are a compromise between different interests and different ideologies. The WTO system does not come from just one ideology.

That makes the paper's notion of "WTO reform" quite off target.

3/5

Read 5 tweets

Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

3 May

@NOIweala

Several news stories on the WTO website today, some from meetings late last week. Here are 3.

1. Today's meeting. Director-general @NOIweala said the most feasible priorities for delivery at the year-end ministerial conference were emerging.

1/11

wto.org/english/news_e…

Today's meeting was both a formal Trade Negotiations Committee and informal heads of delegations—unclear how that works since "formal" is on the record with minutes and "informal" is off the record with no minutes.

2/11

wto.org/english/news_e…

The "concrete deliverables": curbing fisheries subsidies; agricultural issues; and trade, health and the COVID-19 pandemic

On fisheries subsides the news story is not specific, except she spoke of "light at the end of the tunnel" and a deal by July

3/11

wto.org/english/news_e…

Read 11 tweets

Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

1 May

COVID-19 IN SWITZERLAND. Week to 01.05.2021—flat/slightly better

Last easing April 19

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—7634 & 210⬇️
● in hospital—317 & 9 —
● deaths—116 & 1.1⬆️

R(e): down—0.98
Vaccinations: 2.6m (930K 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/10

VIRUS VARIANTS detected

UK variant dominant

Public Health Office: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Science Task Force: sciencetaskforce.ch/en/nextstrain-…

3/10

Read 10 tweets

Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

30 Apr

@wto

RECAP, IN A THREAD—TRADE TRANSPARENCY

1/17 THE MEANING isn’t so clear

With the clamour for reform, #WTOtransparency needs re-examining. @wto and its members should do better

A 4-part analysis with @BobWolfeSPS (+ great photos by @JayLouvion) #WTOreform

tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/04/26/wto…

@wto

2/17 Should @wto members pay more attention to external transparency?

Our recommendations are in tweet 16. Our reasons are in the rest of this thread, and the linked pieces.

#WTOtransparency #WTOreform

SHORT VERSION: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/04/26/wto…

3/17 TRANSPARENCY

A WTO aim—reliable info about governments’ rules and practices reduces uncertainty about trade.

Also makes taxpayers’ money accountable.

But *occasionally* too much public info can impede work in the WTO

#WTOtransparency #WTOreform

tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/04/26/wto…

Read 17 tweets

Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

26 Apr

@BobWolfeSPS

NEW with @BobWolfeSPS

Short and long reads on WTO and transparency as part of #WTOreform

It all be began light-heartedly here on trade Twitter. But digging deeper into the topic reveals the complexity. Transparency is more than it seems.

SHORT READ: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/04/26/wto…

@BobWolfeSPS

NEW: WTO, trade and transparency, with @BobWolfeSPS

“We have a particular interest in the prospects for successful reform of the WTO and its negotiations. Would more transparency help? Would less?”

LONG READ PART 1 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/04/26/wto…

@BobWolfeSPS

…One minister insisted the draft mustn’t be released until approved. Next moment, delegates from that country were in the press room giving copies to favoured journalists…

What does this say about #WTOtransparency? And leaks?

Part 2 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/04/26/wto…

With @BobWolfeSPS

Read 4 tweets

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